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Phoenix Rising vs Oakland Roots

USA USA

USL Championship Wild Horse Pass Stadium, Chandler, AZ
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Match Events

42' Event
Prentice W.
Assist: Byaruhanga B.
45' Event
Bravo J.
Assist: Prentice W.
45'
Pelayo A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this USL Championship matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Phoenix Rising
20%
Draws
47%
Oakland Roots
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Oakland Roots

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Phoenix Rising lately — more wins on the board than Oakland Roots.
  • Oakland Roots are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Phoenix Rising Clean Sheet 26%
Oakland Roots Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Phoenix Rising Oakland Roots
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 8
Draws 8 9
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.27 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 USL Championship
Oakland Roots vs Phoenix Rising
3:0
Jun 21, 2026 USL Championship
Phoenix Rising vs Oakland Roots
3:4
Mar 22, 2026 USL Championship
Phoenix Rising vs Oakland Roots
2:2
Sep 28, 2025 USL Championship
Phoenix Rising vs Oakland Roots
3:3
Jul 13, 2025 USL Championship
Oakland Roots vs Phoenix Rising
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Phoenix Rising Compare

Top Goalscorer Gomez D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Studenhofft G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Oakland Roots Compare

Top Goalscorer Prentice W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bravo J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Phoenix Rising 30 / 100
Oakland Roots 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Phoenix Rising Oakland Roots

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Oakland Roots Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

Phoenix Rising found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Oakland Roots let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: Phoenix Rising remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Phoenix Rising VS Oakland Roots
1.38 Goals Scored 0.63
1 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Phoenix Rising

(Home)
27 Sept
Oakland Roots
3 : 0
Phoenix Rising
20 Sept
Phoenix Rising
1 : 3
El Paso Locomotive
13 Sept
Phoenix Rising
2 : 1
FC Tulsa
06 Sept
Monterey Bay
1 : 1
Phoenix Rising
30 Aug
Phoenix Rising
2 : 1
Indy Eleven
Page 1 of 6

Oakland Roots

(Away)
27 Sept
Oakland Roots
3 : 0
Phoenix Rising
20 Sept
Indy Eleven
0 : 1
Oakland Roots
13 Sept
Oakland Roots
1 : 4
Lexington
30 Aug
Oakland Roots
1 : 1
Orange County SC
23 Aug
San Antonio FC
0 : 1
Oakland Roots
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tampa Bay 26 15 7 4 45:23 52
2 Charleston 26 14 4 8 52:31 46
3 Detroit City 26 12 8 6 32:20 44
4 Hartford Athletic 26 9 12 5 29:26 39
5 Pittsburgh Riverhounds 27 11 5 11 28:27 38
6 Louisville City 26 10 7 9 43:42 37
7 Rhode Island 25 10 5 10 36:28 35
8 Indy Eleven 26 9 6 11 32:32 33
9 Miami FC 27 8 9 10 36:44 33
10 Birmingham Legion 25 4 11 10 36:42 23
11 Loudoun United 25 4 11 10 31:43 23
12 Brooklyn FC 26 4 6 16 26:52 18
13 Sporting Jax 27 3 5 19 32:73 14
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 El Paso Locomotive 26 14 5 7 45:32 47
2 New Mexico 26 12 7 7 39:31 43
3 Sacramento Republic 26 11 10 5 36:24 43
4 FC Tulsa 26 11 8 7 31:24 41
5 Lexington 26 12 4 10 46:32 40
6 Colorado Springs 26 11 6 9 40:37 39
7 Orange County SC 26 10 9 7 35:40 39
8 San Antonio FC 26 9 11 6 29:28 38
9 Las Vegas Lights 26 9 6 11 34:38 33
10 Oakland Roots 26 8 9 9 33:35 33
11 Phoenix Rising 26 8 9 9 35:38 33
12 Monterey Bay 26 4 6 16 27:46 18
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)