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Stadium Background

Phoenix Rising vs San Antonio FC

USA USA

USL Championship Wild Horse Pass Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Sub
Parano C. In: Erofeev D.
Out: Parano C.
34'
Pelayo A.
44'
Dennis C.

AI Match Summary

Phoenix Rising host San Antonio FC in the USL Championship. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Phoenix Rising at 0.88 goals for, 1.5 against; San Antonio FC at 1.88 for, 1.63 against. Head-to-head, Phoenix Rising have won 2 to San Antonio FC's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on May 10, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 1.69, favoring San Antonio FC. San Antonio FC in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Phoenix Rising
11%
Draws
80%
San Antonio FC
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: San Antonio FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • San Antonio FC has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Phoenix Rising.
  • Model forecasts a 80% win probability edge for San Antonio FC.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in USL Championship provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Phoenix Rising Clean Sheet 13%
San Antonio FC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Phoenix Rising San Antonio FC
Matches Played 26 32
Wins 9 15
Draws 6 10
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 0.88 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 USL Championship
Phoenix Rising vs San Antonio FC
1:1
Mar 8, 2026 USL Championship
San Antonio FC vs Phoenix Rising
2:1
Oct 19, 2025 USL Championship
Phoenix Rising vs San Antonio FC
1:0
Apr 27, 2025 USL Cup
Phoenix Rising vs San Antonio FC
0:1
Apr 6, 2025 USL Championship
San Antonio FC vs Phoenix Rising
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Phoenix Rising Compare

Top Goalscorer Pelayo A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

San Antonio FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Erofeev D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Phoenix Rising 11 / 100
San Antonio FC 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Phoenix Rising San Antonio FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Phoenix Rising scored in 65% of their last 26 games.

San Antonio FC let in goals in 56% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Phoenix Rising went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

San Antonio FC lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Phoenix Rising VS San Antonio FC
0.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tampa Bay1594224:1231
2Charleston1582530:2126
3Detroit City1473421:1424
4Louisville City1573525:2224
5Indy Eleven1263318:1221
6Pittsburgh Riverhounds1362515:1520
7Hartford Athletic1447312:1319
8Miami FC1546518:2418
9Rhode Island1344523:1816
10Birmingham Legion1528516:1914
11Brooklyn FC1433815:2412
12Loudoun United1418517:2811
13Sporting Jax15041119:414
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Orange County SC1677225:1828
2San Antonio FC1567220:1725
3New Mexico1363415:1421
4Oakland Roots1556424:2221
5Colorado Springs1454524:2219
6Sacramento Republic1354415:1319
7El Paso Locomotive1454525:2419
8FC Tulsa1354417:1619
9Lexington1353521:1618
10Phoenix Rising1545620:2217
11Las Vegas Lights1443721:2515
12Monterey Bay1543814:2215