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Phoenix vs Dundalk Prediction & H2H Stats

Ireland Ireland

FAI Cup 2013
Phoenix Logo

Phoenix

0 - 4
FT
Dundalk Logo

Dundalk

Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Hoban P.
25' Event
Hoban P.
40' Event
Byrne K.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-4, with Dundalk advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Phoenix
15%
Draws
12%
Dundalk
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Phoenix

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dundalk come out ahead of Phoenix on wins alone.
  • Model gives Phoenix a 73% chance of winning this.
  • Dundalk arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Dundalk, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Phoenix Clean Sheet 19%
Dundalk Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Phoenix Dundalk
Matches Played 7 31
Wins 3 12
Draws 0 7
Losses 4 12
Goals Scored 1.43 1.81
Goals Conceded 2.57 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2013 FAI Cup
Phoenix vs Dundalk
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Phoenix Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Dundalk Compare

Top Goalscorer Hoban P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Byrne K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Phoenix 49 / 100
Dundalk 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Phoenix Dundalk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Phoenix Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dundalk has conceded goals in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Phoenix found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (7 games).

Dundalk's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Dundalk
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Phoenix

(Home)
08 Jun
Ballynanty Rovers
2 : 1
Phoenix
27 Apr
Bluebell Utd
2 : 3
Phoenix
31 May
Phoenix
0 : 4
Dundalk
30 Mar
St. Marys
0 : 1
Phoenix
25 May
UC Dublin
3 : 1
Phoenix
Page 1 of 2

Dundalk

(Away)
02 Oct
Dundalk
1 : 2
Bohemians
18 Sept
Dundalk
2 : 3
Shelbourne
14 Sept
Dundalk
0 : 4
St. Patricks
11 Sept
Waterford
1 : 1
Dundalk
06 Sept
Derry City
4 : 2
Dundalk
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Drogheda -
TBD -
TBD -
Bohemians -
Pike Rovers 3
Everton AFC 1
TBD -
Longford -
Cobh Ramblers -
TBD -
Carew Park 2
St. Patricks CY 3
Wexford -
TBD -
TBD -
Finn Harps -
Shelbourne -
TBD -
TBD -
Bandon -
Tolka 2
Bangor Celtic 1
Newbridge Town 1
College Corinthians 2
Limerick -
TBD -
Beggsboro 2
Glenville 3
Phoenix 1
St. Marys 0
TBD -
Dundalk -
Sligo Rovers -
TBD -
TBD -
Waterford -
Kilbarrack Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
Cork City -
Bluebell Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
Athlone -
Blarney Utd 3
Parkvilla 2
TBD -
Derry City -
St. Patricks -
TBD -
TBD -
UC Dublin -
Mervue United -
TBD -
TBD -
Bray -
Sheriff YC 3
Leixlip United 1
TBD -
Avondale United -
Salthill -
TBD -
TBD -
Shamrock Rovers -
1/16-finals
Drogheda 3
Bohemians 0
Pike Rovers 0
Longford 4
Cobh Ramblers 4
St. Patricks CY 3
Wexford 1
Finn Harps 2
Shelbourne 3
Bandon 0
Tolka 2
College Corinthians 5
Limerick 3
Glenville 0
Phoenix 0
Dundalk 4
Sligo Rovers 2
Waterford 0
Kilbarrack Utd 1
Cork City 3
Bluebell Utd 5
Athlone 4
Blarney Utd 0
Derry City 4
St. Patricks 4
UC Dublin 0
Mervue United 0
Bray 2
Sheriff YC 2
Avondale United 1
Salthill 0
Shamrock Rovers 2
1/8-finals
Drogheda 3
Longford 2
Cobh Ramblers 1
Finn Harps 5
Shelbourne 1
College Corinthians 0
Limerick 3
Dundalk 5
Sligo Rovers 1
Cork City 0
Bluebell Utd 1
Derry City 2
St. Patricks 3
Bray 0
Sheriff YC 1
Shamrock Rovers 3
Quarter-finals
Drogheda 3
Finn Harps 1
Shelbourne 1
Dundalk 5
Sligo Rovers 1
Derry City 0
St. Patricks 0
Shamrock Rovers 2
Semi-finals
Drogheda 1
Dundalk 0
Sligo Rovers 3
Shamrock Rovers 0
Final
Drogheda 2
Sligo Rovers 3