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Phonix Lubeck vs Altona Prediction & H2H Stats

Germany Germany

Regionalliga North 2025/2026
Phonix Lubeck Logo

Phonix Lubeck

2 - 1
FT
Altona Logo

Altona

Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Rahimic O.
45' Event
Gottel M.
58' Event
Kokovas S.
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Regionalliga North 2025/2026 game between Phonix Lubeck and Altona finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Phonix Lubeck.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Phonix Lubeck
20%
Draws
34%
Altona
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Phonix Lubeck

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Phonix Lubeck carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Phonix Lubeck are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Regionalliga North 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Phonix Lubeck have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Phonix Lubeck Clean Sheet 15%
Altona Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Phonix Lubeck Altona
Matches Played 26 25
Wins 13 7
Draws 5 5
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 2.08 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.42 2.8
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 Club Friendly
Altona vs Phonix Lubeck
0:0
May 10, 2026 Regionalliga North
Phonix Lubeck vs Altona
2:1
Oct 24, 2025 Regionalliga North
Altona vs Phonix Lubeck
0:2
Feb 6, 2022 Regionalliga North
Phonix Lubeck vs Altona
2:1
Sep 19, 2021 Regionalliga North
Altona vs Phonix Lubeck
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Phonix Lubeck Compare

Top Goalscorer Rahimic O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Altona Compare

Top Goalscorer Gottel M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Phonix Lubeck 75 / 100
Altona 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Phonix Lubeck Altona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Phonix Lubeck Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Phonix Lubeck's goal record stands at 88% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

Altona let in goals in 92% of their last 25 matches.

Recent resilience: Phonix Lubeck stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Phonix Lubeck VS Altona
2.25 Goals Scored 2.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Phonix Lubeck

(Home)
19 Sept
Weiche Flensburg 08
1 : 2
Phonix Lubeck
16 Sept
Phonix Lubeck
9 : 0
Todesfelde
12 Sept
Eimsbutteler
1 : 3
Phonix Lubeck
06 Sept
Werder Bremen II
0 : 2
Phonix Lubeck
02 Sept
Hannoverscher SC
0 : 3
Phonix Lubeck
Page 1 of 6

Altona

(Away)
26 Sept
Altona
1 : 1
Harksheide
19 Sept
Altona
2 : 0
HEBC Hamburg
13 Sept
TSV Buchholz 08
5 : 5
Altona
28 Aug
TSV Concordia
3 : 4
Altona
22 Aug
Altona
6 : 1
Teutonia Ottensen
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Meppen 34 26 5 3 103:35 83
2 Drochtersen / Assel 34 22 4 8 83:48 70
3 VfB Oldenburg 34 21 6 7 87:45 69
4 Jeddeloh 34 19 7 8 81:50 64
5 Phonix Lubeck 34 16 8 10 53:43 56
6 Hannover II 34 16 5 13 63:49 53
7 Bremer 34 14 10 10 52:41 52
8 Emden 34 14 9 11 64:54 51
9 Weiche Flensburg 08 34 14 7 13 69:63 49
10 Hamburger II 34 13 8 13 57:50 47
11 Lubeck 34 12 9 13 54:61 45
12 Werder Bremen II 34 10 10 14 57:71 40
13 Hannoverscher SC 34 10 7 17 49:84 37
14 Schoningen 34 10 4 20 56:84 34
15 Eintracht Norderstedt 34 7 9 18 51:79 30
16 St. Pauli II 34 4 13 17 38:72 25
17 Lohne 34 5 8 21 38:78 23
18 Altona 34 6 5 23 44:92 23
Promotion - 3. Liga (Main)