Sport Picks
Phrae United vs Chainat Hornbill
Thailand
Thai League 2 2025/2026 Huai Ma Stadium, Phrae 
Match Events
43'
43'
dos Santos Silva J. N.
61'
61'
Amarildo
71'
71'
Ito T.
AI Match Summary
The Thai League 2 2025/2026 game between Phrae United and Chainat Hornbill finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Phrae United.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
35%
37%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Chainat Hornbill
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Chainat Hornbill come out ahead of Phrae United on wins alone.
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Phrae United Clean Sheet 18%
Chainat Hornbill Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Phrae United | Chainat Hornbill |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 6 | 8 |
| Draws | 12 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 1.27 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.59 | 1.57 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 14, 2026 Thai League 2
Phrae United vs Chainat Hornbill
2:1
Oct 5, 2025 Thai League 2
Chainat Hornbill vs Phrae United
1:1
Feb 16, 2025 Thai League 2
Phrae United vs Chainat Hornbill
1:0
Oct 19, 2024 Thai League 2
Chainat Hornbill vs Phrae United
0:1
Jan 21, 2024 Thai League 2
Phrae United vs Chainat Hornbill
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Phrae United Compare
Top Goalscorer dos Santos Silva J. N.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ito T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Chainat Hornbill Compare
Top Goalscorer Amarildo
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Phrae United 32 / 100
Chainat Hornbill 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Phrae United Chainat Hornbill
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Chainat Hornbill's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.
Phrae United's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Phrae United remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Phrae United VS Chainat Hornbill
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Phrae United
(Home) 25 Apr
Phrae United
0 : 2 Nakhon Pathom
18 Apr
Police Tero
3 : 1 Phrae United
05 Apr
Phrae United
0 : 0 Pattaya United
21 Mar
Rasisalai United
2 : 2 Phrae United
14 Mar
Songkhla
0 : 0 Phrae United
Page 1 of 6
25 Apr
Phrae United
0 : 2 Nakhon Pathom
05 Apr
Phrae United
0 : 0 Pattaya United
05 Mar
Phrae United
0 : 0 Nakhon Si United
21 Feb
Phrae United
1 : 0 Sisaket United
14 Feb
Phrae United
2 : 1 Chainat Hornbill
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Chainat Hornbill
(Away) 09 May
Pattani
2 : 1 Chainat Hornbill
02 May
Chainat Hornbill
1 : 3 Pattani
25 Apr
Chainat Hornbill
1 : 2 Pattaya United
19 Apr
Trat FC
3 : 3 Chainat Hornbill
05 Apr
Chainat Hornbill
2 : 1 Police Tero
Page 1 of 6
09 May
Pattani
2 : 1 Chainat Hornbill
19 Apr
Trat FC
3 : 3 Chainat Hornbill
22 Mar
Pattani
3 : 2 Chainat Hornbill
07 Mar
Songkhla
2 : 0 Chainat Hornbill
28 Feb
Sisaket United
1 : 1 Chainat Hornbill
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rasisalai United | 34 | 20 | 11 | 3 | 64:35 | 71 |
| 2 | Sisaket United | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 49:31 | 60 |
| 3 | Pattani | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 49:45 | 58 |
| 4 | Nong Bua Pitchaya | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 59:59 | 54 |
| 5 | Police Tero | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 50:44 | 53 |
| 6 | Chainat Hornbill | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 50:46 | 46 |
| 7 | Khonkaen United | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 60:52 | 45 |
| 8 | Mahasarakham | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 47:42 | 45 |
| 9 | Trat FC | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 49:53 | 44 |
| 10 | Chiangmai United | 34 | 14 | 1 | 19 | 55:58 | 43 |
| 11 | Phrae United | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 40:50 | 43 |
| 12 | Pattaya United | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 45:42 | 42 |
| 13 | Songkhla | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 37:46 | 41 |
| 14 | Chanthaburi | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 44:46 | 40 |
| 15 | Nakhon Pathom | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 29:37 | 39 |
| 16 | Kasetsart | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 46:49 | 38 |
| 17 | Nakhon Si United | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 32:54 | 36 |
| 18 | Bangkok FC | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 40:56 | 35 |
| 19 | Lampang F.C. | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Thai League 1 (Main)
Promotion - Thai League 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
