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Phrae United vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 2
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Phrae United host Nakhon Ratchasima FC in the Thai League 2. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Phrae United at 1.07 goals for, 1.5 against; Nakhon Ratchasima FC at 0.74 for, 1.44 against. Head-to-head, Phrae United have won 0 to Nakhon Ratchasima FC's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Mar 24, 2024, ending 5:0. Model xG sits at 1.06 vs 1.13, favoring Phrae United. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Phrae United
35%
Draws
19%
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Phrae United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Phrae United carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Phrae United taking it.
  • Regular Thai League 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Phrae United Clean Sheet 20%
Nakhon Ratchasima FC Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Phrae United Nakhon Ratchasima FC
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 8 6
Draws 9 5
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.07 0.74
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 24, 2024 Thai League 2
Nakhon Ratchasima FC vs Phrae United
5:0
Dec 3, 2023 Thai League 2
Phrae United vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Phrae United 58 / 100
Nakhon Ratchasima FC 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Phrae United Nakhon Ratchasima FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Phrae United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Phrae United scored in 61% of their last 28 games.

Nakhon Ratchasima FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 27 matches.

Solid form: Phrae United remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Phrae United VS Nakhon Ratchasima FC
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Phrae United

(Home)
09 Oct
Phrae United
2 : 1
Kanchanaburi
20 Sept
Pattaya United
0 : 3
Phrae United
17 Sept
Muang Loei Utd
2 : 0
Phrae United
13 Sept
Phrae United
0 : 0
Nakhon Pathom
06 Sept
Chainat Hornbill
3 : 1
Phrae United
Page 1 of 6

Nakhon Ratchasima FC

(Away)
19 Sept
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
1 : 2
Chainat Hornbill
16 Sept
Mahasarakham
1 : 1
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
12 Sept
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
1 : 2
Chiangmai United
05 Sept
Nakhon Pathom
2 : 2
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
22 Aug
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
0 : 0
Rasisalai United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Khonkaen United 4 3 0 1 7:3 9
2 Uttaradit FC 4 2 2 0 8:5 8
3 Muang Loei Utd 4 2 1 1 6:2 7
4 Nong Bua Pitchaya 4 2 1 1 9:7 7
5 Phrae United 5 2 1 2 6:6 7
6 Chainat Hornbill 4 2 1 1 5:5 7
7 Muang Thong Utd 4 2 1 1 3:4 7
8 Satun FC 4 2 0 2 11:9 6
9 Kanchanaburi 5 1 3 1 7:6 6
10 Chiangmai United 4 2 0 2 5:4 6
11 Police Tero 4 2 0 2 4:5 6
12 Songkhla 4 1 2 1 6:5 5
13 Chanthaburi 4 1 1 2 5:5 4
14 Nakhon Pathom 4 0 4 0 3:3 4
15 Pattaya United 4 1 1 2 1:6 4
16 Mahasarakham 4 0 3 1 3:6 3
17 Nakhon Ratchasima FC 4 0 2 2 5:7 2
18 Kasetsart 4 0 1 3 0:6 1
Promotion - Thai League 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Thai League 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)