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Phu Dong Ninh Binh vs Ho Chi Minh - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Vietnam Vietnam

V.League 1 Ninh Binh Stadium, Ninh Binh
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Phu Dong Ninh Binh host Ho Chi Minh in the V.League 1. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Recent numbers: Phu Dong Ninh Binh at 2 goals for, 1.31 against; Ho Chi Minh at 1.19 for, 1.48 against. Past meetings favor Phu Dong Ninh Binh slightly — 2-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 14, 2026, ending 1:2. The numbers (2.13 xG vs 1.06) point toward Phu Dong Ninh Binh. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Phu Dong Ninh Binh
20%
Draws
23%
Ho Chi Minh
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Phu Dong Ninh Binh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Phu Dong Ninh Binh carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Phu Dong Ninh Binh are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Phu Dong Ninh Binh Clean Sheet 20%
Ho Chi Minh Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Phu Dong Ninh Binh Ho Chi Minh
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 16 12
Draws 7 6
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 2 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2026 Vietnamese Cup
Phu Dong Ninh Binh vs Ho Chi Minh
1:2
May 23, 2026 V.League 1
Phu Dong Ninh Binh vs Ho Chi Minh
1:1
Nov 9, 2025 V.League 1
Ho Chi Minh vs Phu Dong Ninh Binh
3:4
Oct 20, 2024 Vietnamese Cup
Ho Chi Minh vs Phu Dong Ninh Binh
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Phu Dong Ninh Binh 85 / 100
Ho Chi Minh 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Phu Dong Ninh Binh Ho Chi Minh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Phu Dong Ninh Binh Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Phu Dong Ninh Binh's goal record stands at 100% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Ho Chi Minh conceded in 77% of 31 recent games.

Solid form: Phu Dong Ninh Binh remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Phu Dong Ninh Binh VS Ho Chi Minh
2.38 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Phu Dong Ninh Binh

(Home)
10 Oct
Nam Dinh
1 : 1
Phu Dong Ninh Binh
11 Sept
Phu Dong Ninh Binh
2 : 1
Thanh Hoa
05 Sept
Hai Phong
1 : 4
Phu Dong Ninh Binh
14 Jun
Phu Dong Ninh Binh
1 : 2
Ho Chi Minh
11 Jun
Phu Dong Ninh Binh
4 : 1
Viettel
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Ho Chi Minh

(Away)
07 Oct
Ratchaburi
1 : 1
Ho Chi Minh
11 Sept
Bac Ninh
1 : 0
Ho Chi Minh
05 Sept
Ho Chi Minh
3 : 1
Hanoi FC
30 Aug
Cong An Ha Noi
5 : 0
Ho Chi Minh
23 Aug
Binh Duong
2 : 1
Ho Chi Minh
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cong An Ha Noi 3 3 0 0 6:0 9
2 Phu Dong Ninh Binh 3 2 1 0 7:3 7
3 Song Lam Nghe An 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
4 Thanh Hoa 3 2 0 1 6:5 6
5 Hong Linh Ha Tinh 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
6 Nam Dinh 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
7 Ho Chi Minh 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
8 Bac Ninh 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
9 Da Nang 3 1 0 2 5:6 3
10 Viettel 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
11 Hai Phong 3 1 0 2 5:7 3
12 Gia Lai 3 1 0 2 4:7 3
13 Hanoi FC 2 0 0 2 2:7 0
14 Truong Tuoi Dong Nai 3 0 0 3 0:6 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - V.League 1 (Relegation)
Relegation - V.League 2 2027/2028 (Main)