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Phu Dong Ninh Binh vs Ho Chi Minh

Vietnam Vietnam

Vietnamese Cup Ninh Binh Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Raphael Utzig
26'
34' Event
Williams L.

AI Match Summary

The Vietnamese Cup game between Phu Dong Ninh Binh and Ho Chi Minh finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ho Chi Minh.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Phu Dong Ninh Binh
17%
Draws
13%
Ho Chi Minh
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Phu Dong Ninh Binh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Ho Chi Minh haven't matched Phu Dong Ninh Binh's recent run of results.
  • Phu Dong Ninh Binh are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • It's a cup tie, so expect more urgency than a normal Vietnamese Cup game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Phu Dong Ninh Binh Clean Sheet 20%
Ho Chi Minh Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Phu Dong Ninh Binh Ho Chi Minh
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 14
Draws 6 6
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.88 1
Goals Conceded 1 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2026 Vietnamese Cup
Phu Dong Ninh Binh vs Ho Chi Minh
1:2
May 23, 2026 V.League 1
Phu Dong Ninh Binh vs Ho Chi Minh
1:1
Nov 9, 2025 V.League 1
Ho Chi Minh vs Phu Dong Ninh Binh
3:4
Oct 20, 2024 Vietnamese Cup
Ho Chi Minh vs Phu Dong Ninh Binh
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Phu Dong Ninh Binh Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Ho Chi Minh Compare

Top Goalscorer Raphael Utzig
1 Goals
Assists Leader Williams L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Phu Dong Ninh Binh 67 / 100
Ho Chi Minh 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Phu Dong Ninh Binh Ho Chi Minh

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PHU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Phu Dong Ninh Binh scored in 100% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.25 goals per match.

Ho Chi Minh let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Phu Dong Ninh Binh remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Phu Dong Ninh Binh VS Ho Chi Minh
1.88 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Hai Phong-
TBD-
Xuan Thien Phu Tho2
Phu Dong Ninh Binh4
PVF-CAND-
TBD-
Thanh Hoa0
Gia Lai2
Cong An Ha Noi-
TBD-
Viettel1
Hanoi FC0
Khanh Hoa-
Hoa Binh-
Van Hien0
Bac Ninh1
Song Lam Nghe An-
TBD-
Da Nang2
Ho Chi Minh 20
Nam Dinh-
TBD-
Long An2
Quy Nhon United1
Ho Chi Minh-
TBD-
Ho Chi Minh City1
Dong Thap0
Truong Tuoi Dong Nai3
Binh Duong1
Hong Linh Ha Tinh1
Quang Ninh0
1/8-finals
Hai Phong1
Phu Dong Ninh Binh2
PVF-CAND1
Gia Lai0
Cong An Ha Noi2
Viettel3
Khanh Hoa0
Bac Ninh1
Song Lam Nghe An2
Da Nang3
Nam Dinh2
Long An0
Ho Chi Minh3
Ho Chi Minh City0
Truong Tuoi Dong Nai2
Hong Linh Ha Tinh0
Quarter-finals
Phu Dong Ninh Binh3
PVF-CAND2
Viettel1
Bac Ninh0
Da Nang1
Nam Dinh2
Ho Chi Minh1
Truong Tuoi Dong Nai0
Semi-finals
Phu Dong Ninh Binh4
Viettel1
Nam Dinh2
Ho Chi Minh4
Final
Phu Dong Ninh Binh1
Ho Chi Minh2