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Phu Dong Ninh Binh vs PVF-CAND Prediction & H2H Stats

Vietnam Vietnam

Vietnamese Cup 2025/2026
Phu Dong Ninh Binh Logo

Phu Dong Ninh Binh

3 - 2
FT
PVF-CAND Logo

PVF-CAND

Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Eid M.
30' Event
Nguyen Van Dung
Own Goal
35' Event
Eid M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Phu Dong Ninh Binh in this Vietnamese Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 3-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Phu Dong Ninh Binh
15%
Draws
39%
PVF-CAND
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Phu Dong Ninh Binh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Phu Dong Ninh Binh lately — more wins on the board than PVF-CAND.
  • Win probability leans Phu Dong Ninh Binh's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Phu Dong Ninh Binh have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Phu Dong Ninh Binh, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Phu Dong Ninh Binh have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%
Phu Dong Ninh Binh Clean Sheet 68%
PVF-CAND Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Phu Dong Ninh Binh PVF-CAND
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 20 7
Draws 6 9
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 2.19 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 V.League 1
Phu Dong Ninh Binh vs PVF-CAND
3:0
Mar 21, 2026 Vietnamese Cup
Phu Dong Ninh Binh vs PVF-CAND
3:2
Oct 25, 2025 V.League 1
PVF-CAND vs Phu Dong Ninh Binh
1:3
May 11, 2025 V.League 2
Phu Dong Ninh Binh vs PVF-CAND
1:0
Nov 19, 2024 V.League 2
PVF-CAND vs Phu Dong Ninh Binh
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Phu Dong Ninh Binh Compare

Top Goalscorer Geovane
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pham Gia Hung
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

PVF-CAND Compare

Top Goalscorer Eid M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nguyen Vu Tin
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Phu Dong Ninh Binh 95 / 100
PVF-CAND 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Phu Dong Ninh Binh PVF-CAND

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Phu Dong Ninh Binh Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Phu Dong Ninh Binh scored in 100% of their last 32 outings.

PVF-CAND let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Phu Dong Ninh Binh stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Phu Dong Ninh Binh VS PVF-CAND
2.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Phu Dong Ninh Binh

(Home)
11 Sept
Phu Dong Ninh Binh
2 : 1
Thanh Hoa
05 Sept
Hai Phong
1 : 4
Phu Dong Ninh Binh
14 Jun
Phu Dong Ninh Binh
1 : 2
Ho Chi Minh
11 Jun
Phu Dong Ninh Binh
4 : 1
Viettel
07 Jun
Phu Dong Ninh Binh
3 : 0
Hong Linh Ha Tinh
Page 1 of 7

PVF-CAND

(Away)
11 Sept
PVF-CAND
2 : 1
Long An
12 Jun
PVF-CAND
1 : 2
Bac Ninh
07 Jun
Song Lam Nghe An
1 : 3
PVF-CAND
31 May
PVF-CAND
3 : 1
Hai Phong
22 May
Viettel
1 : 1
PVF-CAND
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Hai Phong -
TBD -
Xuan Thien Phu Tho 2
Phu Dong Ninh Binh 4
PVF-CAND -
TBD -
Thanh Hoa 0
Gia Lai 2
Cong An Ha Noi -
TBD -
Viettel 1
Hanoi FC 0
Khanh Hoa -
Hoa Binh -
Van Hien 0
Bac Ninh 1
Song Lam Nghe An -
TBD -
Da Nang 2
Ho Chi Minh 2 0
Nam Dinh -
TBD -
Long An 2
Quy Nhon United 1
Ho Chi Minh -
TBD -
Ho Chi Minh City 1
Aurora Saigon United 0
Truong Tuoi Dong Nai 3
Binh Duong 1
Hong Linh Ha Tinh 1
Thep Can Tho 0
1/8-finals
Hai Phong 1
Phu Dong Ninh Binh 2
PVF-CAND 1
Gia Lai 0
Cong An Ha Noi 2
Viettel 3
Khanh Hoa 0
Bac Ninh 1
Song Lam Nghe An 2
Da Nang 3
Nam Dinh 2
Long An 0
Ho Chi Minh 3
Ho Chi Minh City 0
Truong Tuoi Dong Nai 2
Hong Linh Ha Tinh 0
Quarter-finals
Phu Dong Ninh Binh 3
PVF-CAND 2
Viettel 1
Bac Ninh 0
Da Nang 1
Nam Dinh 2
Ho Chi Minh 1
Truong Tuoi Dong Nai 0
Semi-finals
Phu Dong Ninh Binh 4
Viettel 1
Nam Dinh 2
Ho Chi Minh 4
Final
Phu Dong Ninh Binh 1
Ho Chi Minh 2