Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group D

Trevigliese

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Piacenza play Trevigliese in the Serie D - Group D. Piacenza are favorites here. Recently, Piacenza averaged 1.85 goals scored and 1 conceded. Trevigliese averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. In past meetings, Piacenza won 2, Trevigliese won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 2, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.88 for Piacenza and 0.69 for Trevigliese. This points to a Piacenza double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

66%

Piacenza

21%

Draws

13%

Trevigliese

Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Piacenza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Piacenza picked up more points recently compared to Trevigliese.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.88 vs 0.69 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 49%

Over 3.5 Goals 29%

Over 4.5 Goals 15%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%

Piacenza Clean Sheet 28%

Trevigliese Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 74%

Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Piacenza	Trevigliese
Matches Played	33	30
Wins	20	3
Draws	5	8
Losses	8	19
Goals Scored	1.85	0.8
Goals Conceded	1	1.8
Expected Goals (xG)	2.13	0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2026 Serie D - Group D

Piacenza vs Trevigliese

Possession: 43% - 51% Cards: 2 - 1

2:0

Nov 23, 2025 Serie D - Group D

Trevigliese vs Piacenza

Possession: 49% - 42% Cards: 2 - 2

2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Piacenza Compare

Top Goalscorer D'Agostino S.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Mustacchio M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.64

Avg xA / game 1.06

Trevigliese Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45

Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Piacenza 65 / 100

Trevigliese 14 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Piacenza Trevigliese

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Piacenza Win (1)

Secondary Pick Piacenza & Under 3.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +13.5%

1.72

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +14.2%

2.33

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Piacenza attacking → ← attacking Trevigliese

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Piacenza scored in 82% of their last 33 games.

Trevigliese let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Piacenza went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Trevigliese lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

65 Points in last 5 17

2.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.50

0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Desenzano Calvina	34	23	8	3	60:21	77
2	Lentigione	34	22	7	5	51:23	73
3	Pistoiese	34	20	11	3	61:22	71
4	Piacenza	34	19	7	8	60:35	64
5	Pro Palazzolo	34	16	9	9	44:31	57
6	Pro Sesto	34	15	10	9	45:30	55
7	Cittadella Vis Modena	34	15	10	9	35:29	55
8	Rovato Vertovese	34	14	10	10	35:29	52
9	Sangiuliano City	34	14	8	12	41:45	47
10	SCD Progresso	34	10	9	15	38:42	39
11	Sant'Angelo	34	10	9	15	38:51	39
12	Correggese	34	9	12	13	35:36	39
13	Crema	34	9	11	14	35:47	38
14	Imolese	34	8	10	16	28:47	34
15	Sasso Marconi	34	8	7	19	33:49	31
16	Tropical Coriano	34	7	10	17	29:45	31
17	Trevigliese	34	5	8	21	31:62	23
18	Tuttocuoio	34	0	8	26	18:73	8