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Piacenza vs United Riccione

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Piacenza play United Riccione in the Serie D - Group D 2024/2025. Piacenza are favorites here. Recently, Piacenza averaged 1.94 goals scored and 0.91 conceded. United Riccione averaged 0.63 goals scored and 2.13 conceded. In past meetings, Piacenza won 2, United Riccione won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 17, 2025 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.35 for Piacenza and 1.06 for United Riccione. This points to a Piacenza double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
Piacenza
18%
Draws
14%
United Riccione
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Piacenza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Piacenza picked up more points recently compared to United Riccione.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.35 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%
Piacenza Clean Sheet 22%
United Riccione Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 73%
Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Piacenza United Riccione
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 21 4
Draws 4 7
Losses 7 19
Goals Scored 1.94 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.91 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2025 Serie D - Group D
United Riccione vs Piacenza
0:3
Dec 8, 2024 Serie D - Group D
Piacenza vs United Riccione
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Piacenza Compare

Top Goalscorer Recino G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

United Riccione Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Piacenza 66 / 100
United Riccione 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Piacenza United Riccione

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Piacenza Win (1)
Secondary Pick Piacenza & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +13.6%
1.67
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.9%
2.13
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Piacenza attacking → ← attacking United Riccione

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Piacenza scored in 84% of their last 32 games.

United Riccione let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Piacenza went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

United Riccione lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

67 Points in last 5 19
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Forli FC34273475:2484
2Ravenna34235665:2774
3Lentigione341811548:2765
4Tau34189754:2763
5Pistoiese34187945:2361
6Imolese341411952:4453
7Cittadella Vis Modena341381348:4047
8Piacenza3410121238:4042
9Prato341191434:3842
10Tuttocuoio3410121232:4342
11SCD Progresso3410111324:3241
12San Marino Calcio341081638:5138
13Sasso Marconi349101539:5137
14Corticella341061837:6536
15Sammaurese347101727:3731
16Fiorenzuola34752221:4626
17Zenith Prato341081636:5123
18United Riccione34572222:6922