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Pianese vs Pineto Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 Stadio Comunale, Piancastagnaio
Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Simeoni L.
39'
Sussi C.
44'
Germinario G.

AI Match Summary

Pianese in this Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pianese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Pianese
35%
Draws
46%
Pineto
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Pineto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

19% / Low Confidence
  • Pineto have won more games recently than Pianese.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Pianese Clean Sheet 68%
Pineto Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pianese Pineto
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 6 7
Draws 13 9
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 0.96 1
Goals Conceded 1.04 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Pianese vs Pineto
1:0
Nov 1, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Pineto vs Pianese
1:1
May 4, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Pineto vs Pianese
0:1
Apr 12, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Pianese vs Pineto
4:0
Nov 29, 2024 Serie C - Group B
Pineto vs Pianese
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pianese Compare

Top Goalscorer Proietto F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Pineto Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pianese 41 / 100
Pineto 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pianese Pineto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pianese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pineto's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

Pianese's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Pianese went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pianese VS Pineto
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pianese

(Home)
26 Sept
Livorno
3 : 2
Pianese
21 Sept
Pianese
1 : 1
Sambenedettese
16 Sept
Sassari Torres
2 : 1
Pianese
12 Sept
Pianese
0 : 0
Grosseto
05 Sept
Guidonia 1937
1 : 0
Pianese
Page 1 of 6

Pineto

(Away)
26 Sept
Pineto
0 : 4
Grosseto
20 Sept
Campobasso
2 : 2
Pineto
16 Sept
Pineto
1 : 1
Forli FC
12 Sept
Pineto
2 : 1
Sambenedettese
06 Sept
Perugia
2 : 1
Pineto
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arezzo 36 24 8 4 64:24 80
2 Ascoli 36 23 8 5 63:23 77
3 Ravenna 36 22 7 7 50:30 73
4 Campobasso 36 17 10 9 49:37 59
5 Juventus U23 36 14 11 11 46:43 53
6 Pianese 36 11 17 8 37:34 50
7 Pineto 36 13 11 12 42:45 50
8 Gubbio 36 11 15 10 31:32 48
9 Ternana 36 14 11 11 44:40 48
10 Vis Pesaro 36 11 13 12 38:36 46
11 Livorno 36 12 7 17 39:51 43
12 Forli FC 36 10 10 16 41:52 40
13 Carpi 36 10 10 16 35:48 40
14 Perugia 36 8 14 14 38:44 38
15 Guidonia 1937 36 8 14 14 30:36 38
16 Sambenedettese 36 8 13 15 30:37 37
17 Sassari Torres 36 6 18 12 32:45 36
18 Bra 36 6 14 16 37:54 32
19 US Pontedera 36 3 11 22 27:62 20
20 Rimini 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Out)