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Pianese vs Pro Livorno

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Tascini A.
45' Event
Convitto R.
50' Event
Trovade G.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group E 2021/2022 game between Pianese and Pro Livorno finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pianese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Pianese
6%
Draws
4%
Pro Livorno
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Pianese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pianese come out ahead of Pro Livorno on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Pianese's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Pianese Clean Sheet 20%
Pro Livorno Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pianese Pro Livorno
Matches Played 39 30
Wins 16 4
Draws 15 5
Losses 8 21
Goals Scored 1 0
Goals Conceded 0.88 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2022 Serie D - Group E
Pro Livorno vs Pianese
0:4
Jan 23, 2022 Serie D - Group E
Pianese vs Pro Livorno
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pianese Compare

Top Goalscorer Tascini A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Convitto R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Pro Livorno Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pianese 85 / 100
Pro Livorno 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pianese Pro Livorno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PIA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pro Livorno's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Pianese went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Pianese found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (39 games).

Scoring Trends

Pianese VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pianese

(Home)
13 May
Lecco
1 : 1
Pianese
10 May
Pianese
1 : 1
Lecco
06 May
Juventus U23
0 : 2
Pianese
03 May
Pianese
1 : 1
Ternana
26 Apr
Ternana
1 : 3
Pianese
Page 1 of 8

Pro Livorno

(Away)
15 May
Pro Livorno
0 : 4
Pianese
08 May
Scandicci
2 : 2
Pro Livorno
01 May
Pro Livorno
0 : 4
Poggibonsi
27 Apr
Pro Livorno
1 : 0
Tiferno Lerchi
23 Apr
Mobilieri Ponsacco
2 : 0
Pro Livorno
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1San Donato Tavarnelle34263586:3081
2Poggibonsi34235661:2874
3Arezzo341810665:4564
4Follonica Gavorrano34189763:3063
5Pianese341681058:4256
6Lornano Badesse341591047:4354
7Sporting Trestina3413101148:4349
8Flaminia341371449:5046
9Tiferno Lerchi3410121236:4842
10Montespaccato341191443:4442
11Mobilieri Ponsacco341191439:4042
12Sangiovannese349141137:3941
13Scandicci3410111336:4441
14FC Rieti34981739:5835
15Foligno34981746:6535
16Unipomezia34871938:6431
17Cannara34592027:5224
18Pro Livorno34562331:8421
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2021/2022 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group E 2021/2022 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E 2021/2022 (Play Out)