Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pianese vs Sambenedettese Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group B Stadio Comunale, Piancastagnaio
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Sgarbi L.
Assist: Nicoli S.
40'
Bellini L.
46'
Sub
Vigiani L. In: Di Cosmo L.
Out: Vigiani L.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group B game between Pianese and Sambenedettese finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Pianese
35%
Draws
16%
Sambenedettese
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Pianese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Sambenedettese haven't matched Pianese's recent run of results.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on Pianese taking it.
  • Regular Serie C - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Pianese Clean Sheet 68%
Sambenedettese Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pianese Sambenedettese
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 7 6
Draws 15 9
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 0.97 0.96
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Pianese vs Sambenedettese
1:1
Jan 24, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Sambenedettese vs Pianese
0:2
Sep 13, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Pianese vs Sambenedettese
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pianese Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sambenedettese Compare

Top Goalscorer Sgarbi L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pianese 50 / 100
Sambenedettese 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pianese Sambenedettese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pianese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pianese found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Sambenedettese's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Pianese went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pianese VS Sambenedettese
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Pianese

(Home)
21 Sept
Pianese
1 : 1
Sambenedettese
16 Sept
Sassari Torres
2 : 1
Pianese
12 Sept
Pianese
0 : 0
Grosseto
05 Sept
Guidonia 1937
1 : 0
Pianese
28 Aug
Pianese
0 : 0
Vado
Page 1 of 6

Sambenedettese

(Away)
21 Sept
Pianese
1 : 1
Sambenedettese
16 Sept
Sambenedettese
2 : 3
Atalanta U23
12 Sept
Pineto
2 : 1
Sambenedettese
06 Sept
Sambenedettese
1 : 2
Spezia
02 Sept
Altamura
3 : 2
Sambenedettese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spezia 7 6 1 0 14:4 19
2 Ravenna 7 5 2 0 12:2 17
3 Grosseto 7 4 3 0 13:4 15
4 Reggiana 7 4 2 1 12:6 14
5 Livorno 7 4 2 1 10:8 14
6 Campobasso 7 3 2 2 11:10 11
7 Sassari Torres 7 3 2 2 8:8 11
8 Forli FC 7 2 4 1 13:11 10
9 Perugia 7 3 1 3 6:11 10
10 Guidonia 1937 7 2 3 2 9:7 9
11 Atalanta U23 6 3 0 3 7:9 9
12 Pescara 7 2 2 3 9:11 8
13 Ostiamare 7 2 1 4 8:9 7
14 Gubbio 7 2 1 4 9:13 7
15 Pineto 7 1 4 2 6:10 7
16 Latina 6 1 2 3 5:8 5
17 Vado 7 1 2 4 5:8 5
18 Vis Pesaro 7 1 1 5 8:16 4
19 Pianese 7 0 3 4 4:9 3
20 Sambenedettese 7 0 2 5 8:13 2
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)