Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pianese vs Virtus Castelfranco

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group D 2016/2017 game between Pianese and Virtus Castelfranco finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pianese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Pianese
30%
Draws
58%
Virtus Castelfranco
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Virtus Castelfranco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Pianese carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Serie D - Group D 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Pianese Clean Sheet 20%
Virtus Castelfranco Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pianese Virtus Castelfranco
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 7
Draws 13 8
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.03 0.8
Goals Conceded 1 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 22, 2017 Serie D - Group D
Pianese vs Virtus Castelfranco
2:1
Sep 18, 2016 Serie D - Group D
Virtus Castelfranco vs Pianese
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pianese 32 / 100
Virtus Castelfranco 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pianese Virtus Castelfranco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Virtus Castelfranco Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pianese scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Virtus Castelfranco has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Pianese has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pianese VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pianese

(Home)
26 Sept
Livorno
3 : 2
Pianese
21 Sept
Pianese
1 : 1
Sambenedettese
16 Sept
Sassari Torres
2 : 1
Pianese
12 Sept
Pianese
0 : 0
Grosseto
05 Sept
Guidonia 1937
1 : 0
Pianese
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Virtus Castelfranco

(Away)
07 May
Virtus Castelfranco
2 : 1
Fiorenzuola
30 Apr
Rignanese
1 : 3
Virtus Castelfranco
23 Apr
Virtus Castelfranco
1 : 1
Ribelle
13 Apr
Delta Porto Tolle
0 : 1
Virtus Castelfranco
09 Apr
Virtus Castelfranco
1 : 3
Sangiovannese
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ravenna 34 17 14 3 52:26 65
2 Imolese 34 18 9 7 60:35 63
3 Delta Porto Tolle 34 17 10 7 57:37 61
4 Lentigione 34 16 10 8 40:31 58
5 Correggese 34 16 8 10 58:48 56
6 Castelvetro 34 15 5 14 60:57 50
7 Scandicci 34 13 7 14 45:55 46
8 Pianese 34 12 10 12 46:48 46
9 Mezzolara 34 11 12 11 44:46 45
10 Rignanese 34 11 11 12 34:35 44
11 San Donato Tavarnelle 34 11 11 12 50:48 44
12 Fiorenzuola 34 12 7 15 39:45 43
13 Colligiana 34 10 13 11 46:47 43
14 Adriese 34 11 6 17 46:51 39
15 Ribelle 34 8 15 11 45:46 38
16 Sangiovannese 34 10 7 17 42:51 37
17 Virtus Castelfranco 34 8 9 17 25:41 33
18 Poggibonsi 34 6 4 24 24:66 21
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2016/2017 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2016/2017 (Play Offs)