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Piast Gliwice vs Arka Gdynia

Poland Poland

Ekstraklasa 2025/2026 Stadion Miejski w Gliwicach
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Nguiamba A.
8' Event
Dziczek P.
Penalty Missed
10' Event
Boisgard Q.
Assist: Sanca L.

AI Match Summary

The Ekstraklasa 2025/2026 game between Piast Gliwice and Arka Gdynia finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Piast Gliwice.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Piast Gliwice
39%
Draws
31%
Arka Gdynia
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Piast Gliwice carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Piast Gliwice Clean Sheet 68%
Arka Gdynia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Piast Gliwice Arka Gdynia
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 10
Draws 5 7
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.13 1
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2026 Ekstraklasa
Piast Gliwice vs Arka Gdynia
4:1
Oct 25, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Arka Gdynia vs Piast Gliwice
2:1
Jul 6, 2025 Club Friendly
Arka Gdynia vs Piast Gliwice
0:0
Oct 30, 2024 Polish Cup
Arka Gdynia vs Piast Gliwice
1:3
Jul 6, 2023 Club Friendly
Arka Gdynia vs Piast Gliwice
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Piast Gliwice Compare

Top Goalscorer Boisgard Q.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Borowski F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Arka Gdynia Compare

Top Goalscorer Kocyla D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Piast Gliwice 41 / 100
Arka Gdynia 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Piast Gliwice Arka Gdynia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PIA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Piast Gliwice found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Arka Gdynia conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Piast Gliwice has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Piast Gliwice VS Arka Gdynia
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lech Poznan341612662:4560
2Gornik Zabrze341681050:3856
3Jagiellonia341511856:4156
4Rakow Czestochowa341671151:4055
5GKS Katowice341481251:4550
6Legia341213942:3749
7Zaglebie341391245:3848
8Wisla Plock3412101234:3846
9Pogon Szczecin341361547:4945
10Radomiak Radom3411111252:5344
11Korona Kielce3411101340:4043
12Motor Lublin3410131146:5343
13Cracovia349151039:4242
14Widzew Lodz341261641:4142
15Piast Gliwice341181542:4641
16Lechia Gdansk341271562:6538
17Arka Gdynia34991634:6136
18Termalica Bruk-Bet34971843:6534