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Piast Gliwice vs Cracovia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

Ekstraklasa Stadion Miejski w Gliwicach, Gliwice
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
10:15 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Piast Gliwice host Cracovia in the Ekstraklasa. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Cracovia have shipped 1.52 goals a game lately, while Piast Gliwice have conceded 1.54 and scored 1.61. Head-to-head, Piast Gliwice have won 1 to Cracovia's 0, with 4 draws. They last met on Feb 27, 2026, ending 2:3. The numbers (2.13 xG vs 1.31) point toward Piast Gliwice. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Piast Gliwice
20%
Draws
29%
Cracovia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Piast Gliwice

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Piast Gliwice carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Ekstraklasa form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Piast Gliwice Clean Sheet 18%
Cracovia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Piast Gliwice Cracovia
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 7
Draws 6 9
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.61 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2026 Ekstraklasa
Cracovia vs Piast Gliwice
2:3
Aug 24, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Piast Gliwice vs Cracovia
0:0
Dec 8, 2024 Ekstraklasa
Piast Gliwice vs Cracovia
0:0
Jul 21, 2024 Ekstraklasa
Cracovia vs Piast Gliwice
1:1
Feb 23, 2024 Ekstraklasa
Piast Gliwice vs Cracovia
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Piast Gliwice 31 / 100
Cracovia 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Piast Gliwice Cracovia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Piast Gliwice Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Piast Gliwice scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Cracovia has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Piast Gliwice stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Cracovia lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Piast Gliwice VS Cracovia
2.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Piast Gliwice

(Home)
18 Oct
Gornik Zabrze
1 : 1
Piast Gliwice
11 Oct
Piast Gliwice
2 : 1
Widzew Lodz
02 Oct
Piast Gliwice
3 : 4
Wisla
20 Sept
Piast Gliwice
1 : 2
Pogon Szczecin
14 Sept
Radomiak Radom
0 : 2
Piast Gliwice
Page 1 of 6

Cracovia

(Away)
17 Oct
Cracovia
1 : 1
Legia
10 Oct
Cracovia
3 : 1
Zaglebie
03 Oct
Cracovia
2 : 3
Termalica Bruk-Bet
19 Sept
GKS Katowice
3 : 2
Cracovia
13 Sept
Wisla Plock
3 : 1
Cracovia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gornik Zabrze 11 8 2 1 20:10 26
2 Lech Poznan 10 8 1 1 27:9 25
3 Legia 11 6 5 0 22:9 23
4 Pogon Szczecin 10 6 3 1 15:6 21
5 GKS Katowice 11 6 0 5 22:16 18
6 Wisla 11 5 3 3 17:14 18
7 Zaglebie 11 5 3 3 13:13 18
8 Piast Gliwice 11 5 2 4 19:17 17
9 Korona Kielce 11 4 3 4 13:18 15
10 Wisla Plock 10 4 2 4 10:15 14
11 Cracovia 11 3 3 5 13:16 12
12 Motor Lublin 11 3 3 5 15:19 12
13 Jagiellonia 10 4 0 6 13:17 12
14 Widzew Lodz 11 1 7 3 14:15 10
15 KS Wieczysta Krakow 11 2 2 7 16:21 8
16 Radomiak Radom 11 2 2 7 9:24 8
17 Slask Wroclaw 11 1 3 7 14:22 6
18 Rakow Czestochowa 11 2 0 9 15:26 6
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)