Sport Picks
Piast Gliwice vs Pogon Szczecin - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
Ekstraklasa Stadion Miejski w Gliwicach, Gliwice 
Match Events
26'
26'
Sanchez J.
Assist: Acosta K.
31'
31'
Ntamack S.
Assist: Lewicki J.
48'
48'
Sanca L.
AI Match Summary
Pogon Szczecin in this Ekstraklasa matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pogon Szczecin.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
20%
38%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Piast Gliwice
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Pogon Szczecin lately — more wins on the board than Piast Gliwice.
- Piast Gliwice are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Ekstraklasa form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Pogon Szczecin have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Piast Gliwice Clean Sheet 17%
Pogon Szczecin Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Piast Gliwice | Pogon Szczecin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 11 | 12 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 13 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.59 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.62 | 1.11 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 20, 2026 Ekstraklasa
Piast Gliwice vs Pogon Szczecin
1:2
Apr 13, 2026 Ekstraklasa
Piast Gliwice vs Pogon Szczecin
0:2
Oct 3, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Pogon Szczecin vs Piast Gliwice
2:1
Apr 13, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Piast Gliwice vs Pogon Szczecin
2:1
Feb 26, 2025 Polish Cup
Pogon Szczecin vs Piast Gliwice
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Piast Gliwice Compare
Top Goalscorer Ntamack S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Pogon Szczecin Compare
Top Goalscorer Sanchez J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Churlinov D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Piast Gliwice 84 / 100
Pogon Szczecin 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Piast Gliwice Pogon Szczecin
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Piast Gliwice Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Piast Gliwice found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).
Pogon Szczecin has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Piast Gliwice has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Piast Gliwice VS Pogon Szczecin
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Piast Gliwice
(Home) 02 Oct
Piast Gliwice
3 : 4 Wisla
20 Sept
Piast Gliwice
1 : 2 Pogon Szczecin
14 Sept
Radomiak Radom
0 : 2 Piast Gliwice
04 Sept
Piast Gliwice
3 : 0 GKS Katowice
01 Sept
Chemik Bydgoszcz
0 : 3 Piast Gliwice
Page 1 of 6
02 Oct
Piast Gliwice
3 : 4 Wisla
20 Sept
Piast Gliwice
1 : 2 Pogon Szczecin
04 Sept
Piast Gliwice
3 : 0 GKS Katowice
22 Aug
Piast Gliwice
1 : 1 Legia
15 Aug
Piast Gliwice
3 : 4 KS Wieczysta Krakow
Page 1 of 4
Pogon Szczecin
(Away) 26 Sept
Pogon Szczecin
1 : 1 Udinese
20 Sept
Piast Gliwice
1 : 2 Pogon Szczecin
13 Sept
Pogon Szczecin
2 : 0 KS Wieczysta Krakow
07 Sept
Pogon Szczecin
1 : 1 Wisla Plock
03 Sept
Slask Wroclaw
2 : 1 Pogon Szczecin
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Piast Gliwice
1 : 2 Pogon Szczecin
03 Sept
Slask Wroclaw
2 : 1 Pogon Szczecin
29 Aug
Zaglebie
0 : 0 Pogon Szczecin
03 Aug
Cracovia
0 : 2 Pogon Szczecin
15 Jul
Sturm Graz
1 : 0 Pogon Szczecin
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gornik Zabrze | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 19:9 | 25 |
| 2 | Lech Poznan | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 21:8 | 22 |
| 3 | Legia | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 19:8 | 19 |
| 4 | Wisla | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17:12 | 17 |
| 5 | GKS Katowice | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 20:14 | 15 |
| 6 | Pogon Szczecin | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12:6 | 15 |
| 7 | Korona Kielce | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 8 | Zaglebie | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12:13 | 15 |
| 9 | Piast Gliwice | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16:15 | 13 |
| 10 | Jagiellonia | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 13:16 | 12 |
| 11 | Cracovia | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12:15 | 11 |
| 12 | Wisla Plock | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:15 | 11 |
| 13 | Widzew Lodz | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 13:13 | 9 |
| 14 | KS Wieczysta Krakow | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 14:17 | 8 |
| 15 | Radomiak Radom | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7:20 | 8 |
| 16 | Motor Lublin | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9:15 | 6 |
| 17 | Slask Wroclaw | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 12:19 | 6 |
| 18 | Rakow Czestochowa | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 13:25 | 3 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)
