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Piast Gliwice vs Widzew Lodz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

Ekstraklasa Stadion Miejski w Gliwicach, Gliwice
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
12:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Piast Gliwice host Widzew Lodz in the Ekstraklasa. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Widzew Lodz have shipped 1 goals a game lately, while Piast Gliwice have conceded 1.61 and scored 1.61. Head-to-head, Piast Gliwice have won 0 to Widzew Lodz's 5, with 0 draws. They last met on May 23, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.88 xG vs 1.38) point toward Widzew Lodz. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Piast Gliwice
35%
Draws
20%
Widzew Lodz
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Piast Gliwice

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Piast Gliwice lately — more wins on the board than Widzew Lodz.
  • Piast Gliwice are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Ekstraklasa form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Widzew Lodz have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Piast Gliwice Clean Sheet 17%
Widzew Lodz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Piast Gliwice Widzew Lodz
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 11 9
Draws 5 11
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.61 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.61 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Ekstraklasa
Widzew Lodz vs Piast Gliwice
2:1
Nov 28, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Piast Gliwice vs Widzew Lodz
0:2
Jul 10, 2025 Club Friendly
Widzew Lodz vs Piast Gliwice
1:0
Mar 28, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Piast Gliwice vs Widzew Lodz
0:2
Sep 21, 2024 Ekstraklasa
Widzew Lodz vs Piast Gliwice
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Piast Gliwice 84 / 100
Widzew Lodz 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Piast Gliwice Widzew Lodz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Piast Gliwice Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Piast Gliwice scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Solid form: Piast Gliwice remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Widzew Lodz conceded in 59% of 27 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Piast Gliwice VS Widzew Lodz
2.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Piast Gliwice

(Home)
02 Oct
Piast Gliwice
3 : 4
Wisla
20 Sept
Piast Gliwice
1 : 2
Pogon Szczecin
14 Sept
Radomiak Radom
0 : 2
Piast Gliwice
04 Sept
Piast Gliwice
3 : 0
GKS Katowice
01 Sept
Chemik Bydgoszcz
0 : 3
Piast Gliwice
Page 1 of 6

Widzew Lodz

(Away)
26 Sept
Widzew Lodz
2 : 2
Leczna
18 Sept
Widzew Lodz
2 : 2
KS Wieczysta Krakow
13 Sept
Legia
1 : 1
Widzew Lodz
05 Sept
Widzew Lodz
0 : 0
Radomiak Radom
02 Sept
Widzew Lodz
0 : 1
Korona Kielce
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gornik Zabrze 9 7 1 1 16:8 22
2 Legia 9 5 4 0 19:8 19
3 Lech Poznan 8 6 1 1 17:7 19
4 Wisla 9 5 2 2 17:12 17
5 Pogon Szczecin 8 4 3 1 12:6 15
6 Korona Kielce 9 4 3 2 12:10 15
7 Zaglebie 9 4 3 2 11:10 15
8 Piast Gliwice 9 4 1 4 16:15 13
9 GKS Katowice 8 4 0 4 16:13 12
10 Jagiellonia 8 4 0 4 12:13 12
11 Wisla Plock 8 3 2 3 9:12 11
12 Widzew Lodz 9 1 6 2 13:13 9
13 Cracovia 9 2 2 5 9:14 8
14 Radomiak Radom 9 2 2 5 7:20 8
15 Slask Wroclaw 9 1 3 5 11:15 6
16 Motor Lublin 9 1 3 5 9:15 6
17 KS Wieczysta Krakow 8 1 2 5 11:17 5
18 Rakow Czestochowa 9 1 0 8 12:21 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)