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Piaui vs Oeirense

Brazil Brazil

Piauiense
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Natan
42' Event
Kauan Maranhao
82' Event
Moreno H.

AI Match Summary

The Piauiense game between Piaui and Oeirense finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Piaui.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Piaui
15%
Draws
37%
Oeirense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Piaui

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Piaui come out ahead of Oeirense on wins alone.
  • Model gives Piaui a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Piauiense form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Piaui here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Piaui Clean Sheet 20%
Oeirense Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Piaui Oeirense
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 16 11
Draws 7 9
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.09 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.94 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 13, 2026 Piauiense
Piaui vs Oeirense
2:1
Feb 15, 2025 Piauiense
Piaui vs Oeirense
0:0
Jan 26, 2025 Piauiense
Oeirense vs Piaui
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Piaui Compare

Top Goalscorer Natan
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kauan Maranhao
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Oeirense Compare

Top Goalscorer Moreno H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Piaui 36 / 100
Oeirense 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Piaui Oeirense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Piaui found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (33 games).

Oeirense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Piaui went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.33 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Piaui VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Piaui

(Home)
27 Jun
Piaui
1 : 0
Maguary
21 Jun
Maguary
2 : 0
Piaui
13 Jun
Piaui
2 : 1
Tirol
01 Jun
Atletico Cearense
0 : 1
Piaui
23 May
Piaui
0 : 1
Fluminense-PI
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Oeirense

(Away)
22 Feb
Oeirense
0 : 0
AE Altos
13 Feb
Piaui
2 : 1
Oeirense
08 Feb
Parnahyba
1 : 2
Oeirense
31 Jan
Oeirense
3 : 1
Corisabba
23 Jan
TEC
1 : 0
Oeirense
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico-PI 7 4 2 1 13:5 14
2 Piaui 7 4 1 2 8:7 13
3 Fluminense-PI 7 3 2 2 12:9 11
4 AE Altos 7 2 5 0 7:4 11
5 Oeirense 7 3 1 3 8:7 10
6 TEC 7 2 2 3 5:7 8
7 Corisabba 7 1 2 4 6:13 5
8 Parnahyba 7 0 3 4 5:12 3
Promotion - Piauiense (Play Offs)
Relegation - Piauiense 2 2027 (Main)