Sport Picks

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Piaui vs Parnahyba

Brazil Brazil

Piauiense 2025
Sat, Mar 15, 2025
3 - 1
07:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Zizu
52' Event
Teixeira R.
58' Event
Zizu
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Piaui in this Piauiense 2025 tie, finishing 3-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Piaui
15%
Draws
37%
Parnahyba
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Piaui

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Piaui lately — more wins on the board than Parnahyba.
  • Piaui are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Piaui have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Piaui, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Piaui Clean Sheet 68%
Parnahyba Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Piaui Parnahyba
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 8
Draws 5 9
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.1 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 26, 2026 Piauiense
Piaui vs Parnahyba
1:0
Mar 15, 2025 Piauiense
Piaui vs Parnahyba
3:1
Mar 9, 2025 Piauiense
Parnahyba vs Piaui
2:1
Feb 9, 2025 Piauiense
Parnahyba vs Piaui
0:1
Jan 20, 2025 Piauiense
Piaui vs Parnahyba
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Piaui Compare

Top Goalscorer Zizu
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Parnahyba Compare

Top Goalscorer Teixeira R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Piaui 77 / 100
Parnahyba 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Piaui Parnahyba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Piaui Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Parnahyba's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Piaui scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Piaui has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Piaui VS Parnahyba
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Piaui

(Home)
27 Jun
Piaui
1 : 0
Maguary
21 Jun
Maguary
2 : 0
Piaui
13 Jun
Piaui
2 : 1
Tirol
01 Jun
Atletico Cearense
0 : 1
Piaui
23 May
Piaui
0 : 1
Fluminense-PI
Page 1 of 6

Parnahyba

(Away)
27 Jun
Aguia De Maraba
2 : 0
Parnahyba
21 Jun
Parnahyba
2 : 1
Aguia De Maraba
07 Jun
Parnahyba
1 : 0
Moto Club
30 May
Iguatu
2 : 2
Parnahyba
24 May
Parnahyba
0 : 1
Maracana
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Piaui 4
Parnahyba 3
AE Altos 3
Fluminense-PI 4
Final
Piaui 4
Fluminense-PI 2