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Picerno vs A.C. Savoia Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C Stadio Comunale Donato Curcio, Picerno
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Abreu L.
Assist: Virgilio P.
11' Event
Yeboah P.
Assist: Portanova D.
28'
Patrignani G.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group C game between Picerno and A.C. Savoia finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Picerno.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Picerno
30%
Draws
35%
A.C. Savoia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and A.C. Savoia come out ahead of Picerno on wins alone.
  • Model gives Picerno a 35% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie C - Group C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Picerno have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.6%
Picerno Clean Sheet 68%
A.C. Savoia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Picerno A.C. Savoia
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 14
Draws 9 8
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.34 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Picerno vs A.C. Savoia
3:2
Jan 6, 2019 Serie D - Group H
A.C. Savoia vs Picerno
0:0
Sep 16, 2018 Serie D - Group H
Picerno vs A.C. Savoia
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Picerno Compare

Top Goalscorer Abreu L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Virgilio P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

A.C. Savoia Compare

Top Goalscorer Yeboah P.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Picerno 50 / 100
A.C. Savoia 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Picerno A.C. Savoia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Picerno Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Picerno's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

A.C. Savoia let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.33 goals per match.

Picerno went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Picerno VS A.C. Savoia
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Picerno

(Home)
26 Sept
Picerno
2 : 1
Audace Cerignola
19 Sept
Altamura
2 : 1
Picerno
15 Sept
Picerno
2 : 4
Catania
12 Sept
Sorrento
1 : 0
Picerno
07 Sept
Picerno
4 : 1
Inter U23
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A.C. Savoia

(Away)
26 Sept
Cavese
4 : 2
A.C. Savoia
19 Sept
A.C. Savoia
1 : 1
Casarano
15 Sept
Foggia
0 : 0
A.C. Savoia
12 Sept
A.C. Savoia
1 : 1
Crotone
06 Sept
Altamura
0 : 2
A.C. Savoia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Potenza 7 5 1 1 17:9 16
2 Bari 7 5 1 1 10:4 16
3 Sorrento 7 5 0 2 10:7 15
4 Picerno 7 4 0 3 14:11 12
5 Casertana 7 3 3 1 12:10 12
6 Monopoli 7 3 2 2 6:4 11
7 Audace Cerignola 7 3 1 3 11:7 10
8 Catania 7 3 1 3 12:9 10
9 Scafatese 7 2 4 1 10:9 10
10 Inter U23 6 3 1 2 11:11 10
11 Casarano 7 3 1 3 10:11 10
12 Salernitana 7 2 3 2 10:9 9
13 Foggia 7 2 2 3 6:7 8
14 Cavese 7 2 2 3 12:14 8
15 Barletta 7 1 4 2 11:13 7
16 Altamura 7 2 1 4 4:10 7
17 A.C. Savoia 7 1 3 3 9:11 6
18 Giugliano 6 1 1 4 11:16 4
19 Cosenza 7 0 2 5 5:16 2
20 Crotone 7 1 3 3 7:10 0
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)