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Stadium Background

Picerno vs Atalanta U23

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 Stadio Comunale Donato Curcio, Picerno
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Pugliese S.
46'
Sub
Pounga D. K. In: Levak S.
Out: Pounga D. K.
54' Event
Manzoni A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Picerno
15%
Draws
64%
Atalanta U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atalanta U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Picerno at 1.3 per game, Atalanta U23 at 1.29.
  • Win probability leans Picerno's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Picerno Clean Sheet 18%
Atalanta U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Picerno Atalanta U23
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 10
Draws 9 8
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.3 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Picerno vs Atalanta U23
1:1
Oct 25, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Atalanta U23 vs Picerno
6:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Picerno Compare

Top Goalscorer Pugliese S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Atalanta U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Manzoni A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Picerno 41 / 100
Atalanta U23 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Picerno Atalanta U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atalanta U23 has conceded goals in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Picerno scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Picerno stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Picerno VS Atalanta U23
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Picerno

(Home)
19 Sept
Altamura
2 : 1
Picerno
15 Sept
Picerno
2 : 4
Catania
12 Sept
Sorrento
1 : 0
Picerno
07 Sept
Picerno
4 : 1
Inter U23
01 Sept
Bari
2 : 1
Picerno
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Atalanta U23

(Away)
20 Sept
Atalanta U23
0 : 2
Ravenna
16 Sept
Sambenedettese
2 : 3
Atalanta U23
12 Sept
Atalanta U23
2 : 1
Pescara
06 Sept
Livorno
1 : 0
Atalanta U23
30 Aug
Atalanta U23
2 : 1
Guidonia 1937
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benevento 38 25 7 6 74:28 82
2 Catania 38 19 13 6 54:25 70
3 Salernitana 38 20 9 9 50:42 69
4 Cosenza 38 19 10 9 58:40 67
5 Casertana 38 19 9 10 55:44 66
6 Crotone 38 18 7 13 59:40 61
7 Monopoli 38 15 11 12 39:41 56
8 Casarano 38 16 8 14 56:57 56
9 Audace Cerignola 38 14 12 12 50:54 54
10 Potenza 38 12 13 13 54:56 49
11 Atalanta U23 38 11 12 15 53:50 45
12 Altamura 38 11 12 15 32:49 45
13 Latina 38 10 12 16 35:44 42
14 Cavese 38 9 15 14 36:42 42
15 Picerno 38 9 13 16 43:55 40
16 Sorrento 38 9 12 17 39:55 39
17 Giugliano 38 9 10 19 35:52 37
18 Foggia 38 6 9 23 28:60 27
19 Siracusa 38 9 10 19 48:57 26
20 Trapani 38 13 10 15 47:54 24
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)