Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Picerno vs Catania

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C Stadio Comunale Donato Curcio, Picerno
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Di Gennaro M.
31' Event
Ierardi M.
Assist: Quaini A.
33' Event
Bruzzaniti G.

AI Match Summary

Catania in this Serie C - Group C matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Catania.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Picerno
15%
Draws
46%
Catania
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Catania

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Catania haven't matched Picerno's recent run of results.
  • Picerno are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Serie C - Group C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Picerno Clean Sheet 15%
Catania Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Picerno Catania
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 9
Draws 9 10
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.34 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Picerno vs Catania
2:4
Apr 6, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Catania vs Picerno
1:2
Nov 29, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Picerno vs Catania
0:1
Jan 19, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Picerno vs Catania
1:1
Sep 14, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Catania vs Picerno
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Picerno Compare

Top Goalscorer Pugliese S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Catania Compare

Top Goalscorer Ierardi M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bruzzaniti G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Picerno 35 / 100
Catania 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Picerno Catania

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Picerno's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Catania conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Picerno went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Picerno VS Catania
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Picerno

(Home)
26 Sept
Picerno
2 : 1
Audace Cerignola
19 Sept
Altamura
2 : 1
Picerno
15 Sept
Picerno
2 : 4
Catania
12 Sept
Sorrento
1 : 0
Picerno
07 Sept
Picerno
4 : 1
Inter U23
Page 1 of 6

Catania

(Away)
19 Sept
Catania
0 : 0
Barletta
15 Sept
Picerno
2 : 4
Catania
12 Sept
Catania
1 : 2
Scafatese
07 Sept
Catania
4 : 0
Cosenza
02 Sept
Catania
0 : 3
A.C. Savoia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sorrento 6 5 0 1 10:5 15
2 Potenza 6 4 1 1 13:8 13
3 Bari 6 4 1 1 9:4 13
4 Casertana 6 3 3 0 11:8 12
5 Audace Cerignola 6 3 1 2 10:5 10
6 Inter U23 6 3 1 2 11:11 10
7 Casarano 6 3 1 2 10:10 10
8 Picerno 6 3 0 3 12:10 9
9 Salernitana 6 2 3 1 9:7 9
10 Monopoli 6 2 2 2 5:4 8
11 Catania 6 2 1 3 10:8 7
12 Barletta 6 1 4 1 10:9 7
13 Scafatese 6 1 4 1 8:9 7
14 Altamura 6 2 1 3 4:8 7
15 A.C. Savoia 6 1 3 2 7:7 6
16 Foggia 6 1 2 3 4:7 5
17 Cavese 6 1 2 3 8:12 5
18 Giugliano 6 1 1 4 11:16 4
19 Cosenza 6 0 2 4 5:15 2
20 Crotone 6 0 3 3 5:9 -3
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)