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Picerno vs Crotone

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 Stadio Comunale Donato Curcio, Picerno
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Bellodi G.
28'
Pugliese S.
33' Event
Guadagni G.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 game between Picerno and Crotone finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Picerno.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Picerno
35%
Draws
32%
Crotone
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Crotone come out ahead of Picerno on wins alone.
  • 33% — that's where the model lands on Picerno taking it.
  • Regular Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Picerno Clean Sheet 68%
Crotone Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Picerno Crotone
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 14
Draws 10 6
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.1 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Picerno vs Crotone
3:1
Oct 4, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Crotone vs Picerno
3:0
Jan 27, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Crotone vs Picerno
0:0
Sep 22, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Picerno vs Crotone
5:2
May 7, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Picerno vs Crotone
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Picerno Compare

Top Goalscorer Bellodi G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Guadagni G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Crotone Compare

Top Goalscorer Gomez G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Picerno 50 / 100
Crotone 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Picerno Crotone

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PIC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Picerno scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Crotone's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Picerno remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Picerno VS Crotone
1 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Picerno

(Home)
26 Apr
Picerno
0 : 0
Sorrento
19 Apr
Salernitana
2 : 1
Picerno
13 Apr
Picerno
3 : 1
Cosenza
06 Apr
Catania
1 : 2
Picerno
29 Mar
Picerno
0 : 0
Monopoli
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Crotone

(Away)
06 May
Casertana
1 : 1
Crotone
03 May
Crotone
1 : 1
Audace Cerignola
26 Apr
Crotone
2 : 5
Latina
19 Apr
Casarano
1 : 2
Crotone
13 Apr
Crotone
2 : 0
Catania
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benevento 38 25 7 6 74:28 82
2 Catania 38 19 13 6 54:25 70
3 Salernitana 38 20 9 9 50:42 69
4 Cosenza 38 19 10 9 58:40 67
5 Casertana 38 19 9 10 55:44 66
6 Crotone 38 18 7 13 59:40 61
7 Monopoli 38 15 11 12 39:41 56
8 Casarano 38 16 8 14 56:57 56
9 Audace Cerignola 38 14 12 12 50:54 54
10 Potenza 38 12 13 13 54:56 49
11 Atalanta U23 38 11 12 15 53:50 45
12 Altamura 38 11 12 15 32:49 45
13 Latina 38 10 12 16 35:44 42
14 Cavese 38 9 15 14 36:42 42
15 Picerno 38 9 13 16 43:55 40
16 Sorrento 38 9 12 17 39:55 39
17 Giugliano 38 9 10 19 35:52 37
18 Foggia 38 6 9 23 28:60 27
19 Siracusa 38 9 10 19 48:57 26
20 Trapani 38 13 10 15 47:54 24
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)