Sport Picks

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Picos vs River-PI

Brazil Brazil

Piauiense 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

52' Event
Pereira I. F.
71' Event
Pedrinho
90' Event
Felipe Para

AI Match Summary

The Piauiense 2024 game between Picos and River-PI finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward River-PI.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Picos
35%
Draws
41%
River-PI
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: River-PI

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • River-PI carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Piauiense 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors River-PI here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Picos Clean Sheet 20%
River-PI Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Picos River-PI
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 4 11
Draws 10 9
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 0.87 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 30, 2024 Piauiense
Picos vs River-PI
1:2
Jan 13, 2024 Piauiense
River-PI vs Picos
3:0
Apr 21, 2021 Piauiense
River-PI vs Picos
3:2
Feb 24, 2021 Piauiense
Picos vs River-PI
0:1
Mar 11, 2020 Piauiense
River-PI vs Picos
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Picos Compare

Top Goalscorer Pedrinho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

River-PI Compare

Top Goalscorer Pereira I. F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Felipe Para
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Picos 32 / 100
River-PI 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Picos River-PI

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Picos scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

River-PI has conceded goals in 76% of their last 34 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Picos stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Picos VS River-PI
0.8 Goals Scored 1.25
1.6 Goals Conceded 1.13
60% Over 1.5 63%
60% Over 2.5 63%
40% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Picos

(Home)
18 Oct
Corisabba
1 : 0
Picos
11 Oct
Picos
0 : 0
TEC
04 Oct
Flamengo PI
3 : 0
Picos
01 Oct
Picos
2 : 2
Caicara
27 Sept
Picos
2 : 2
Comercial PI
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River-PI

(Away)
01 Mar
Piaui
2 : 0
River-PI
22 Feb
River-PI
1 : 0
Piaui
17 Feb
River-PI
1 : 1
Fluminense-PI
08 Feb
AE Altos
1 : 0
River-PI
03 Feb
River-PI
1 : 1
Atletico-PI
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 River-PI 6 4 1 1 10:4 13
2 AE Altos 6 3 2 1 7:6 11
3 Julho Esporte 6 2 1 3 6:7 7
4 Picos 6 0 2 4 5:11 2
Promotion - Piauiense 2024 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Oeirense 6 4 1 1 6:2 13
2 Parnahyba 6 3 2 1 7:3 11
3 Fluminense-PI 6 2 2 2 8:5 8
4 Corisabba 6 0 1 5 2:13 1
Promotion - Piauiense 2024 (Second stage)