Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Picos vs Tocantinopolis Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Serie D 2021 Venue Estadio Elmo Serejo Farias (Serejao), Taguatinga
Sun, May 30, 2021
3 - 2
07:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Freitas R.
49' Event
Rhuann
60' Event
Caique

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-2, with Picos advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Picos
15%
Draws
35%
Tocantinopolis
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Picos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Tocantinopolis carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Picos are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Tocantinopolis arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Picos, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Picos Clean Sheet 20%
Tocantinopolis Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Picos Tocantinopolis
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 7 13
Draws 9 11
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.31 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 0.85
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2021 Serie D
Picos vs Tocantinopolis
3:2
May 26, 2021 Serie D
Tocantinopolis vs Picos
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Picos Compare

Top Goalscorer Freitas R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rhuann
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Tocantinopolis Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.47

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Picos 76 / 100
Tocantinopolis 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Picos Tocantinopolis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Picos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Picos has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Picos's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Tocantinopolis has conceded goals in 64% of their last 33 outings.

Scoring Trends

Picos VS Tocantinopolis
2.5 Goals Scored 0.88
0.83 Goals Conceded 1.38
83% Over 1.5 75%
67% Over 2.5 50%
33% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Picos

(Home)
26 Sept
Picos
2 : 0
Flamengo PI
19 Sept
Julho Esporte
3 : 3
Picos
15 Sept
Caicara
1 : 5
Picos
12 Sept
Picos
2 : 1
Comercial PI
05 Sept
River-PI
0 : 3
Picos
Page 1 of 6

Tocantinopolis

(Away)
06 Jun
Tocantinopolis
7 : 1
Oratorio
30 May
Aguia De Maraba
3 : 1
Tocantinopolis
23 May
Trem
4 : 1
Tocantinopolis
16 May
Tocantinopolis
2 : 0
Imperatriz
10 May
Tuna Luso
2 : 3
Tocantinopolis
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Santana EC 1
Gremio Atletico Sampaio 5
Tocantinopolis 4
Picos 3
Real Ariquemes 1
Brasiliense 5
Aquidauanense 1
Rio Branco ES 6