Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Picos vs Tocantinopolis

Brazil Brazil

Serie D 2021 Venue Estadio Elmo Serejo Farias (Serejao), Taguatinga
Sun, May 30, 2021
3 - 2
07:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Freitas R.
49' Event
Rhuann
60' Event
Caique

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-2, with Picos advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Picos
6%
Draws
90%
Tocantinopolis
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Tocantinopolis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Tocantinopolis carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Tocantinopolis are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Tocantinopolis arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Picos, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Picos Clean Sheet 20%
Tocantinopolis Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Picos Tocantinopolis
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 4 13
Draws 10 11
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 0 1.25
Goals Conceded 0 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2021 Serie D
Picos vs Tocantinopolis
3:2
May 26, 2021 Serie D
Tocantinopolis vs Picos
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Picos Compare

Top Goalscorer Freitas R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rhuann
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Tocantinopolis Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Picos 10 / 100
Tocantinopolis 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Picos Tocantinopolis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TOC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Picos scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Tocantinopolis's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 35 matches.

Picos has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Tocantinopolis
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Picos

(Home)
18 Oct
Corisabba
1 : 0
Picos
11 Oct
Picos
0 : 0
TEC
04 Oct
Flamengo PI
3 : 0
Picos
01 Oct
Picos
2 : 2
Caicara
27 Sept
Picos
2 : 2
Comercial PI
Page 1 of 6

Tocantinopolis

(Away)
06 Jun
Tocantinopolis
7 : 1
Oratorio
30 May
Aguia De Maraba
3 : 1
Tocantinopolis
23 May
Trem
4 : 1
Tocantinopolis
16 May
Tocantinopolis
2 : 0
Imperatriz
10 May
Tuna Luso
2 : 3
Tocantinopolis
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Santana EC1
Gremio Atletico Sampaio5
Tocantinopolis4
Picos3
Real Ariquemes1
Brasiliense5
Aquidauanense1
Rio Branco ES6