Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Picuiense vs Auto Esporte

Brazil Brazil

Paraibano 2025 Estadio Governador Ernani Satyro (Amigao), Campina Grande
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Sub
Diego In: Gliniedson
Out: Diego
10' Event
Gliniedson
45'
Breno Renan

AI Match Summary

The Paraibano 2025 game between Picuiense and Auto Esporte finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Auto Esporte.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Picuiense
30%
Draws
47%
Auto Esporte
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Auto Esporte

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Auto Esporte come out ahead of Picuiense on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Auto Esporte have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Picuiense Clean Sheet 10%
Auto Esporte Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Picuiense Auto Esporte
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 7 13
Draws 3 9
Losses 17 6
Goals Scored 0.81 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.22 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2025 Paraibano
Picuiense vs Auto Esporte
1:2
Oct 3, 2024 Paraibano 2
Auto Esporte vs Picuiense
3:0
Sep 30, 2024 Paraibano 2
Picuiense vs Auto Esporte
0:1
Aug 28, 2024 Paraibano 2
Picuiense vs Auto Esporte
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Picuiense Compare

Top Goalscorer Cordeiro A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Auto Esporte Compare

Top Goalscorer Gliniedson
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ray Sape
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Picuiense 34 / 100
Auto Esporte 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Picuiense Auto Esporte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Auto Esporte Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Picuiense scored in 44% of their last 27 outings.

Auto Esporte let in goals in 54% of their last 28 matches.

Solid form: Picuiense remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Picuiense VS Auto Esporte
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
3.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Picuiense

(Home)
24 Sept
Picuiense
0 : 2
Desportiva Guarabira
20 Sept
Picuiense
0 : 0
Sao Paulo Crystal
16 Sept
Femar
1 : 3
Picuiense
13 Sept
Picuiense
0 : 1
Spartax
19 Feb
Picuiense
0 : 5
EC de Patos
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Auto Esporte

(Away)
23 Sept
Auto Esporte
0 : 0
Cruzeiro-PB
20 Sept
Spartax
2 : 2
Auto Esporte
16 Sept
Auto Esporte
2 : 0
Santa Rita
12 Sept
Femar
1 : 2
Auto Esporte
22 Feb
Serra Branca
5 : 1
Auto Esporte
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sousa 9 6 2 1 14:3 20
2 Botafogo PB 9 6 1 2 19:8 19
3 Treze PB 9 5 3 1 18:8 18
4 Serra Branca 9 5 2 2 21:8 17
5 Campinense 9 4 2 3 14:10 14
6 EC de Patos 9 3 1 5 14:16 10
7 Pombal 9 2 3 4 7:11 9
8 Nacional PB 9 2 3 4 15:21 9
9 Auto Esporte 9 1 4 4 9:16 7
10 Picuiense 9 0 1 8 5:35 1
11 CSP 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Paraibano 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paraibano 2 (Main)