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Stadium Background

Picuiense vs Auto Esporte

Brazil Brazil

Paraibano 2025 Estadio Governador Ernani Satyro (Amigao), Campina Grande
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Sub
Diego In: Gliniedson
Out: Diego
10' Event
Gliniedson
45'
Breno Renan

AI Match Summary

The Paraibano 2025 game between Picuiense and Auto Esporte finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Auto Esporte.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Picuiense
6%
Draws
90%
Auto Esporte
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Auto Esporte

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Auto Esporte come out ahead of Picuiense on wins alone.
  • Model gives Auto Esporte a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Auto Esporte have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Picuiense Clean Sheet 11%
Auto Esporte Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Picuiense Auto Esporte
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 11
Draws 3 8
Losses 18 11
Goals Scored 0.5 0.88
Goals Conceded 2.75 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.75 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2025 Paraibano
Picuiense vs Auto Esporte
1:2
Oct 3, 2024 Paraibano 2
Auto Esporte vs Picuiense
3:0
Sep 30, 2024 Paraibano 2
Picuiense vs Auto Esporte
0:1
Aug 28, 2024 Paraibano 2
Picuiense vs Auto Esporte
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Picuiense Compare

Top Goalscorer Cordeiro A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Auto Esporte Compare

Top Goalscorer Gliniedson
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ray Sape
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Picuiense 10 / 100
Auto Esporte 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Picuiense Auto Esporte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AUT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Auto Esporte's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Auto Esporte lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Picuiense found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Picuiense VS Auto Esporte
0.5 Goals Scored 0.88
2.75 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Picuiense

(Home)
19 Feb
Picuiense
0 : 5
EC de Patos
15 Feb
Botafogo PB
3 : 0
Picuiense
12 Feb
Picuiense
2 : 6
Treze PB
09 Feb
Picuiense
1 : 2
Auto Esporte
03 Feb
Serra Branca
8 : 0
Picuiense
Page 1 of 6

Auto Esporte

(Away)
22 Feb
Serra Branca
5 : 1
Auto Esporte
16 Feb
Nacional PB
3 : 1
Auto Esporte
13 Feb
Pombal
1 : 1
Auto Esporte
09 Feb
Picuiense
1 : 2
Auto Esporte
02 Feb
Auto Esporte
2 : 3
EC de Patos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sousa962114:320
2Botafogo PB961219:819
3Treze PB953118:818
4Serra Branca952221:817
5Campinense942314:1014
6EC de Patos931514:1610
7Pombal92347:119
8Nacional PB923415:219
9Auto Esporte91449:167
10Picuiense90185:351
11CSP00000:00
Promotion - Paraibano 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paraibano 2 2026 (Main)