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Picuiense vs EC de Patos

Brazil Brazil

Paraibano 2025 Jose Americo de Almeida Filho (Almeidao), Joao Pessoa
Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Breno Renan
27'
Jubileu
44' Event
Pedrinho

AI Match Summary

EC de Patos in this Paraibano 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored EC de Patos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Picuiense
15%
Draws
85%
EC de Patos
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: EC de Patos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to EC de Patos lately — more wins on the board than Picuiense.
  • Model gives EC de Patos a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and EC de Patos have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24%
Picuiense Clean Sheet 10%
EC de Patos Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Picuiense EC de Patos
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 8 14
Draws 3 5
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 0.82 1.33
Goals Conceded 2.21 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.96 2.28
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2025 Paraibano
Picuiense vs EC de Patos
0:5
Sep 8, 2024 Paraibano 2
EC de Patos vs Picuiense
4:1
Sep 10, 2023 Paraibano 2
EC de Patos vs Picuiense
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Picuiense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.48

EC de Patos Compare

Top Goalscorer Pedrinho
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mano Walter
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.07
Avg xA / game 1.27

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Picuiense 10 / 100
EC de Patos 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Picuiense EC de Patos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EC de Patos Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.33 goals.

EC de Patos's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

Picuiense scored in 46% of their last 28 games.

Difficult form: EC de Patos registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Picuiense VS EC de Patos
0.43 Goals Scored 1.13
3.43 Goals Conceded 1.5
71% Over 1.5 75%
71% Over 2.5 38%
43% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Picuiense

(Home)
19 Feb
Picuiense
0 : 5
EC de Patos
15 Feb
Botafogo PB
3 : 0
Picuiense
12 Feb
Picuiense
2 : 6
Treze PB
09 Feb
Picuiense
1 : 2
Auto Esporte
03 Feb
Serra Branca
8 : 0
Picuiense
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EC de Patos

(Away)
22 Feb
EC de Patos
1 : 0
Campinense
13 Feb
Treze PB
3 : 1
EC de Patos
08 Feb
Confianca PB
1 : 2
EC de Patos
04 Feb
EC de Patos
0 : 1
Pombal
01 Feb
Sousa
0 : 1
EC de Patos
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sousa 9 6 2 1 14:3 20
2 Botafogo PB 9 6 1 2 19:8 19
3 Treze PB 9 5 3 1 18:8 18
4 Serra Branca 9 5 2 2 21:8 17
5 Campinense 9 4 2 3 14:10 14
6 EC de Patos 9 3 1 5 14:16 10
7 Pombal 9 2 3 4 7:11 9
8 Nacional PB 9 2 3 4 15:21 9
9 Auto Esporte 9 1 4 4 9:16 7
10 Picuiense 9 0 1 8 5:35 1
11 CSP 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Paraibano 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paraibano 2 (Main)