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Picuiense vs Sabugy

Brazil Brazil

Paraibano 2 2023
Picuiense Logo

Picuiense

1 - 0
FT
Sabugy Logo

Sabugy

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Paraibano 2 2023 game between Picuiense and Sabugy finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Picuiense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Picuiense
15%
Draws
42%
Sabugy
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Picuiense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Picuiense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Picuiense a 43% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Picuiense Clean Sheet 10%
Sabugy Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Picuiense Sabugy
Matches Played 31 18
Wins 10 2
Draws 2 2
Losses 19 14
Goals Scored 0.97 0.72
Goals Conceded 2.19 2.39
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2023 Paraibano 2
Picuiense vs Sabugy
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Picuiense 74 / 100
Sabugy 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Picuiense Sabugy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Picuiense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sabugy let in goals in 94% of their last 18 matches.

Sabugy lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Picuiense's goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Picuiense VS Sabugy
0.38 Goals Scored 0.38
4 Goals Conceded 3.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Picuiense

(Home)
16 Sept
Femar
1 : 3
Picuiense
13 Sept
Picuiense
0 : 1
Spartax
19 Feb
Picuiense
0 : 5
EC de Patos
15 Feb
Botafogo PB
3 : 0
Picuiense
12 Feb
Picuiense
2 : 6
Treze PB
Page 1 of 7

Sabugy

(Away)
21 Sept
Sabugy
3 : 1
Queimadense
17 Sept
Spartax
3 : 1
Sabugy
14 Sept
Desportiva Guarabira
2 : 0
Sabugy
11 Sept
Sabugy
2 : 3
Sao Paulo Crystal
08 Sept
Sabugy
0 : 3
Confianca PB
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 EC de Patos 9 6 2 1 18:9 20
2 Atletico Cajazeirense 9 6 1 2 21:8 19
3 Confianca PB 9 6 0 3 22:13 18
4 Pombal 9 5 1 3 12:5 16
5 Spartax 9 4 3 2 10:8 15
6 Picuiense 9 4 2 3 13:12 14
7 Desportiva Guarabira 9 4 1 4 13:17 13
8 Sport PB 9 2 2 5 12:17 8
9 Sabugy 9 1 2 6 7:12 5
10 Perilima 9 0 0 9 0:27 0
Promotion - Paraibano 2 2023 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Paraibano 2 2023 (Play Offs)