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Pierikos vs Kozani FC

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pierikos play Kozani FC in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 2. It looks like a close match. Recently, Pierikos averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Kozani FC averaged 1.17 goals scored and 0.87 conceded. In past meetings, Pierikos won 2, Kozani FC won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Mar 1, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.44 for Pierikos and 1.31 for Kozani FC. This points to a Kozani FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Pierikos
25%
Draws
38%
Kozani FC
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Kozani FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Pierikos picked up more points recently compared to Kozani FC.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.44 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 55%
Over 2.5 Goals 40%
Over 3.5 Goals 24%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29%
Pierikos Clean Sheet 18%
Kozani FC Clean Sheet 23%
First Half Goal 50%
Second Half Goal 52%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pierikos Kozani FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 12
Draws 3 8
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.17 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.2 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 0.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Pierikos vs Kozani FC
0:0
Nov 30, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Kozani FC vs Pierikos
1:2
Jan 12, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Pierikos vs Kozani FC
2:0
Sep 22, 2024 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Kozani FC vs Pierikos
0:0
Apr 8, 2023 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Pierikos vs Kozani FC
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pierikos 37 / 100
Kozani FC 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pierikos Kozani FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Kozani FC or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +27.6%
3.45
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +17.6%
2.94
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Pierikos attacking → ← attacking Kozani FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pierikos scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Kozani FC let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Pierikos went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Kozani FC lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

39 Points in last 5 44
0.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Apollon Kalamaria22174147:655
2Ethnikos Neou22146249:2448
3Veria22124632:1940
4Ermis Exochis22105736:3035
5Pierikos22931022:2330
6Philippos Alexandreia2285926:3129
7Akrites Sykeon2285929:2429
8Eordaikos22841025:2728
9Kozani FC2268817:2226
10Sarakinos Volos22821227:3826
11Asteras Karditsa22561128:4321
12Evosmou22022013:642