Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Piesteritz vs Fortuna Chemnitz

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Piesteritz in this Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2012/2013 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Piesteritz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Piesteritz
15%
Draws
85%
Fortuna Chemnitz
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fortuna Chemnitz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Piesteritz average 1.39 goals a game right now, well clear of Fortuna Chemnitz's 1.2.
  • Win probability leans Fortuna Chemnitz's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Piesteritz Clean Sheet 20%
Fortuna Chemnitz Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Piesteritz Fortuna Chemnitz
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 7 7
Draws 6 8
Losses 18 15
Goals Scored 1.39 1.2
Goals Conceded 2.29 2.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2013 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Piesteritz vs Fortuna Chemnitz
4:0
Nov 3, 2012 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Fortuna Chemnitz vs Piesteritz
4:0
Mar 31, 2012 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Fortuna Chemnitz vs Piesteritz
3:2
Oct 15, 2011 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Piesteritz vs Fortuna Chemnitz
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Piesteritz 20 / 100
Fortuna Chemnitz 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Piesteritz Fortuna Chemnitz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fortuna Chemnitz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fortuna Chemnitz let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.75 goals when they meet.

Piesteritz's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Fortuna Chemnitz's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Piesteritz VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Piesteritz

(Home)
10 Jan
Halberstadt
6 : 2
Piesteritz
08 Jun
Einheit Rudolstadt
4 : 1
Piesteritz
01 Jun
Piesteritz
0 : 4
Markranstadt
25 May
Sandersdorf
2 : 1
Piesteritz
18 May
Piesteritz
2 : 4
Aue II
Page 1 of 7

Fortuna Chemnitz

(Away)
09 Jun
Aue II
5 : 1
Fortuna Chemnitz
05 Jun
Fortuna Chemnitz
2 : 5
Chemnitzer II
25 May
Fortuna Chemnitz
3 : 4
Hallescher II
18 May
Gotha
1 : 2
Fortuna Chemnitz
15 May
Fortuna Chemnitz
2 : 1
Laubsdorf
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wacker Nordhausen 30 20 7 3 60:22 67
2 Bautzen 30 18 7 5 66:27 61
3 Markranstadt 30 15 12 3 61:23 57
4 Hallescher II 30 17 5 8 64:38 56
5 Dresden II 30 14 12 4 45:22 54
6 Jena II 30 13 5 12 50:42 44
7 Heidenauer 30 11 10 9 47:45 43
8 Halle 30 11 10 9 39:46 43
9 Chemnitzer II 30 9 10 11 42:45 37
10 Piesteritz 30 10 7 13 43:58 37
11 Einheit Rudolstadt 30 10 6 14 30:41 36
12 Erfurt II 30 10 3 17 37:53 33
13 Aue II 30 9 5 16 49:50 32
14 Fortuna Chemnitz 30 7 8 15 36:69 29
15 Gotha 30 5 4 21 29:74 19
16 Laubsdorf 30 3 5 22 22:65 14
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2013/2014 (Main)