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Pieta vs Senglea Prediction & H2H Stats

Malta Malta

Challenge League 2024/2025 Victor Tedesco Stadium, Hamrun
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Match Events

7'
Abela I.
32'
Farrugia I.
36' Event
Attram G. T.

AI Match Summary

The Challenge League 2024/2025 game between Pieta and Senglea finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pieta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Pieta
20%
Draws
7%
Senglea
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pieta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pieta come out ahead of Senglea on wins alone.
  • Pieta are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Pieta have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Pieta Clean Sheet 68%
Senglea Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pieta Senglea
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 18 3
Draws 5 6
Losses 10 21
Goals Scored 1.97 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 2, 2024 Challenge League
Pieta vs Senglea
2:1
Aug 23, 2024 Club Friendly
Senglea vs Pieta
0:3
Apr 20, 2024 Challenge League
Pieta vs Senglea
4:2
Mar 2, 2024 Challenge League
Senglea vs Pieta
1:0
Dec 13, 2023 FA Trophy
Senglea vs Pieta
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pieta Compare

Top Goalscorer Micallef J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Briffa K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.9

Senglea Compare

Top Goalscorer Attram G. T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pieta 95 / 100
Senglea 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pieta Senglea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pieta Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pieta's goal record stands at 94% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Senglea's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Pieta stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pieta VS -
2.38 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pieta

(Home)
18 Sept
Swieqi
3 : 2
Pieta
12 Sept
Pieta
3 : 2
Naxxar Lions
19 Apr
Pieta
2 : 2
St. Andrews
12 Apr
Sirens
3 : 4
Pieta
04 Apr
Fgura
0 : 4
Pieta
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Senglea

(Away)
12 Apr
Sirens
2 : 1
Senglea
06 Apr
Senglea
1 : 1
Lija
30 Mar
Senglea
1 : 2
Zebbug
12 Mar
Valletta
1 : 0
Senglea
09 Mar
Fgura
2 : 0
Senglea
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Valletta 15 12 2 1 29:4 38
2 Tarxien 15 9 2 4 22:16 29
3 Marsa 15 8 4 3 25:13 28
4 Swieqi 15 8 4 3 23:18 28
5 Pieta 15 8 2 5 21:19 26
6 Santa Lucia 15 8 1 6 24:25 25
7 Mgarr 15 5 7 3 24:19 22
8 Zurrieq 15 6 4 5 18:17 22
9 Fgura 15 6 3 6 17:14 21
10 Gudja 15 6 3 6 21:22 21
11 Zebbug 15 3 8 4 22:20 17
12 Sirens 15 4 5 6 25:26 17
13 Lija 15 3 3 9 16:28 12
14 St. Andrews 15 2 4 9 11:23 10
15 Senglea 15 2 3 10 13:27 9
16 Mtarfa 15 2 1 12 10:30 7
Promotion - Challenge League 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Challenge League 2024/2025 (Relegation Group)