Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pieta vs St. Andrews

Malta Malta

Challenge League 2025/2026 Centenary Stadium, Ta' Qali
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Galliano M.
34' Event
Bio E.
51' Event
Mosquera D.

AI Match Summary

The Challenge League 2025/2026 game between Pieta and St. Andrews finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward St. Andrews.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Pieta
6%
Draws
4%
St. Andrews
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Pieta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pieta come out ahead of St. Andrews on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Pieta's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Challenge League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Pieta Clean Sheet 20%
St. Andrews Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pieta St. Andrews
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 17 13
Draws 6 4
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.88 1
Goals Conceded 1.38 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Challenge League
Pieta vs St. Andrews
2:2
Dec 10, 2025 Challenge League
Pieta vs St. Andrews
1:3
Feb 1, 2025 Challenge League
St. Andrews vs Pieta
1:3
Jan 21, 2024 Challenge League
Pieta vs St. Andrews
0:1
Jan 22, 2022 Challenge League
St. Andrews vs Pieta
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pieta Compare

Top Goalscorer Bio E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

St. Andrews Compare

Top Goalscorer Galliano M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mosquera D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pieta 85 / 100
St. Andrews 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pieta St. Andrews

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PIE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pieta's goal record stands at 94% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Defensive concern: St. Andrews conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Pieta stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pieta VS St. Andrews
1.88 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pieta

(Home)
19 Apr
Pieta
2 : 2
St. Andrews
12 Apr
Sirens
3 : 4
Pieta
04 Apr
Fgura
0 : 4
Pieta
17 Mar
Pieta
0 : 1
Melita
14 Mar
Birzebbuga
2 : 2
Pieta
Page 1 of 7

St. Andrews

(Away)
19 Apr
Pieta
2 : 2
St. Andrews
11 Apr
St. Andrews
0 : 1
Swieqi
04 Apr
St. Andrews
1 : 3
Birzebbuga
14 Mar
Melita
3 : 0
St. Andrews
07 Mar
St. Andrews
0 : 3
Sirens
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Balzan FC 15 11 2 2 37:10 35
2 Melita 15 10 2 3 36:17 32
3 Birzebbuga 15 10 1 4 29:15 31
4 Sirens 15 9 2 4 39:19 29
5 Swieqi 15 9 2 4 32:23 29
6 Fgura 15 8 1 6 33:24 25
7 Pieta 15 7 3 5 27:21 24
8 St. Andrews 15 7 2 6 19:23 23
9 Mgarr 15 6 4 5 28:24 22
10 Gudja 15 5 7 3 16:13 22
11 Santa Lucia 15 4 6 5 27:25 18
12 Zurrieq 15 4 2 9 21:27 14
13 Vittoriosa 15 3 3 9 17:24 12
14 Marsa 15 2 4 9 18:28 8
15 Zebbug 15 2 2 11 9:37 8
16 Mtarfa 15 1 1 13 9:67 -2
Promotion - Challenge League 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Challenge League 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)