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Pietralunga vs Foligno

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F
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Match Events

76' Event
Vecchi L.

AI Match Summary

Foligno in this Serie D - Group F matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Foligno.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
Pietralunga
15%
Draws
77%
Foligno
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Foligno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence
  • Foligno have won more games recently than Pietralunga.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 51.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Pietralunga Clean Sheet 25%
Foligno Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pietralunga Foligno
Matches Played 4 30
Wins 0 13
Draws 1 7
Losses 3 10
Goals Scored 0.25 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.66 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Pietralunga vs Foligno
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pietralunga Compare

Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.33

Foligno Compare

Top Goalscorer Vecchi L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pietralunga 33 / 100
Foligno 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pietralunga Foligno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Foligno Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Foligno let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Pietralunga's goal record stands at 25% scoring rate across 4 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Pietralunga remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Pietralunga VS Foligno
0.2 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
40% Over 1.5 63%
20% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Pietralunga

(Home)
20 Sept
Pietralunga
0 : 2
Maceratese
16 Sept
Montecchio Gallo
2 : 1
Pietralunga
12 Sept
Pietralunga
0 : 1
Foligno
06 Sept
Recanatese
0 : 0
Pietralunga

Foligno

(Away)
20 Sept
Foligno
1 : 0
Notaresco Calcio
16 Sept
Recanatese
4 : 1
Foligno
12 Sept
Pietralunga
0 : 1
Foligno
06 Sept
Foligno
2 : 1
Lanciano FC
03 May
Foligno
1 : 0
Cannara
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vigor Senigallia 4 4 0 0 10:4 12
2 Teramo 4 3 1 0 11:5 10
3 Foligno 4 3 0 1 5:5 9
4 Aquila Calcio 4 2 2 0 7:2 8
5 Ancona 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
6 Santegidiese 4 2 1 1 4:3 7
7 Atletico Ascoli 4 2 1 1 4:3 7
8 Montecchio Gallo 4 2 1 1 4:3 7
9 Recanatese 4 1 3 0 5:2 6
10 Fossombrone 4 2 0 2 5:9 6
11 Lanciano FC 4 1 1 2 6:6 4
12 Notaresco Calcio 4 1 1 2 4:5 4
13 Termoli 4 1 1 2 2:3 4
14 Maceratese 4 1 0 3 3:6 3
15 Angelana 4 1 0 3 3:6 3
16 Giulianova 4 0 1 3 3:6 1
17 Pietralunga 4 0 1 3 1:5 1
18 Sporting Trestina 4 0 1 3 2:7 1
Promotion - Serie D - Group F (Play Offs)