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Pietralunga vs Fossombrone - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pietralunga host Fossombrone in the Serie D - Group F. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Pietralunga at 0.63 goals for, 1.13 against; Fossombrone at 0.9 for, 1.28 against. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (1.19 xG vs 1.00) point toward Fossombrone. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Pietralunga
20%
Draws
40%
Fossombrone
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Pietralunga haven't matched Fossombrone's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Serie D - Group F form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Pietralunga Clean Sheet 20%
Fossombrone Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pietralunga Fossombrone
Matches Played 8 29
Wins 2 10
Draws 2 7
Losses 4 12
Goals Scored 0.63 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pietralunga 32 / 100
Fossombrone 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pietralunga Fossombrone

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fossombrone's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Pietralunga went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Pietralunga scored in 50% of their last 8 outings.

Fossombrone's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Pietralunga VS Fossombrone
0.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pietralunga

(Home)
17 Oct
Pietralunga
2 : 0
Sporting Trestina
11 Oct
Angelana
0 : 1
Pietralunga
04 Oct
Pietralunga
0 : 3
Aquila Calcio
26 Sept
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 1
Pietralunga
20 Sept
Pietralunga
0 : 2
Maceratese
Page 1 of 2

Fossombrone

(Away)
18 Oct
Ancona
2 : 3
Fossombrone
11 Oct
Fossombrone
1 : 2
Termoli
07 Oct
Ancona
2 : 1
Fossombrone
04 Oct
Atletico Ascoli
0 : 1
Fossombrone
27 Sept
Vigor Senigallia
0 : 0
Fossombrone
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aquila Calcio 8 6 2 0 17:5 20
2 Teramo 8 6 1 1 20:11 19
3 Vigor Senigallia 8 5 1 2 17:12 16
4 Foligno 8 5 1 2 9:7 16
5 Notaresco Calcio 8 4 2 2 13:9 14
6 Ancona 8 4 2 2 12:8 14
7 Atletico Ascoli 8 4 1 3 13:10 13
8 Fossombrone 8 4 1 3 10:13 13
9 Montecchio Gallo 8 3 2 3 9:9 11
10 Giulianova 8 3 1 4 11:11 10
11 Lanciano FC 8 3 1 4 14:15 10
12 Termoli 8 3 1 4 6:7 10
13 Santegidiese 8 2 2 4 7:11 8
14 Pietralunga 8 2 2 4 5:9 8
15 Maceratese 8 2 1 5 9:16 7
16 Recanatese 8 1 3 4 11:14 6
17 Angelana 8 1 1 6 5:12 4
18 Sporting Trestina 8 1 1 6 4:13 4
Promotion - Serie D - Group F (Play Offs)