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Pietralunga vs Maceratese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F
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AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group F game between Pietralunga and Maceratese finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Maceratese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Pietralunga
25%
Draws
28%
Maceratese
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Pietralunga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Maceratese carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Pietralunga a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Pietralunga Clean Sheet 20%
Maceratese Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pietralunga Maceratese
Matches Played 3 28
Wins 0 8
Draws 1 5
Losses 2 15
Goals Scored 0.33 1.21
Goals Conceded 1 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Pietralunga vs Maceratese
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pietralunga 58 / 100
Maceratese 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pietralunga Maceratese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pietralunga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maceratese's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Maceratese's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Pietralunga scored in 33% of their last 3 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pietralunga VS Maceratese
0.2 Goals Scored 1.13
0.6 Goals Conceded 1.5
20% Over 1.5 75%
20% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pietralunga

(Home)
16 Sept
Montecchio Gallo
2 : 1
Pietralunga
12 Sept
Pietralunga
0 : 1
Foligno
06 Sept
Recanatese
0 : 0
Pietralunga

Maceratese

(Away)
16 Sept
Maceratese
0 : 1
Ancona
13 Sept
Atletico Ascoli
2 : 1
Maceratese
06 Sept
Maceratese
0 : 3
Teramo
03 May
Calcio Chieti
1 : 0
Maceratese
26 Apr
Maceratese
1 : 1
Giulianova
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vigor Senigallia 3 3 0 0 8:3 9
2 Teramo 3 2 1 0 8:3 7
3 Aquila Calcio 3 2 1 0 5:0 7
4 Montecchio Gallo 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
5 Ancona 3 2 0 1 3:2 6
6 Foligno 3 2 0 1 4:5 6
7 Fossombrone 3 2 0 1 3:5 6
8 Recanatese 3 1 2 0 5:2 5
9 Notaresco Calcio 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
10 Santegidiese 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
11 Atletico Ascoli 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
12 Termoli 3 1 1 1 1:1 4
13 Angelana 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
14 Lanciano FC 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
15 Giulianova 3 0 1 2 1:3 1
16 Pietralunga 3 0 1 2 1:3 1
17 Sporting Trestina 3 0 1 2 2:6 1
18 Maceratese 3 0 0 3 1:6 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group F (Play Offs)