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Pietralunga vs Sporting Trestina - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Gagliardi M.
76' Event
Locchi A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group F game between Pietralunga and Sporting Trestina finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pietralunga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Pietralunga
15%
Draws
26%
Sporting Trestina
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pietralunga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Pietralunga haven't matched Sporting Trestina's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Pietralunga a 59% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group F form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Pietralunga Clean Sheet 68%
Sporting Trestina Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pietralunga Sporting Trestina
Matches Played 8 30
Wins 2 8
Draws 2 8
Losses 4 14
Goals Scored 0.63 1
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 17, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Pietralunga vs Sporting Trestina
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pietralunga Compare

Top Goalscorer Gagliardi M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sporting Trestina Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pietralunga 59 / 100
Sporting Trestina 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pietralunga Sporting Trestina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pietralunga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sporting Trestina conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Pietralunga stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Sporting Trestina lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pietralunga VS Sporting Trestina
0.63 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pietralunga

(Home)
17 Oct
Pietralunga
2 : 0
Sporting Trestina
11 Oct
Angelana
0 : 1
Pietralunga
04 Oct
Pietralunga
0 : 3
Aquila Calcio
26 Sept
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 1
Pietralunga
20 Sept
Pietralunga
0 : 2
Maceratese
Page 1 of 2

Sporting Trestina

(Away)
17 Oct
Pietralunga
2 : 0
Sporting Trestina
11 Oct
Sporting Trestina
0 : 2
Teramo
04 Oct
Ancona
2 : 0
Sporting Trestina
27 Sept
Sporting Trestina
2 : 0
Termoli
20 Sept
Atletico Ascoli
1 : 0
Sporting Trestina
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aquila Calcio 8 6 2 0 17:5 20
2 Teramo 8 6 1 1 20:11 19
3 Vigor Senigallia 8 5 1 2 17:12 16
4 Foligno 8 5 1 2 9:7 16
5 Notaresco Calcio 8 4 2 2 13:9 14
6 Ancona 8 4 2 2 12:8 14
7 Atletico Ascoli 8 4 1 3 13:10 13
8 Fossombrone 8 4 1 3 10:13 13
9 Montecchio Gallo 8 3 2 3 9:9 11
10 Giulianova 8 3 1 4 11:11 10
11 Lanciano FC 8 3 1 4 14:15 10
12 Termoli 8 3 1 4 6:7 10
13 Santegidiese 8 2 2 4 7:11 8
14 Pietralunga 8 2 2 4 5:9 8
15 Maceratese 8 2 1 5 9:16 7
16 Recanatese 8 1 3 4 11:14 6
17 Angelana 8 1 1 6 5:12 4
18 Sporting Trestina 8 1 1 6 4:13 4
Promotion - Serie D - Group F (Play Offs)