Sport Picks

Poland

III Liga - Group I 2023/2024

Pelikan

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Pilica Bialobrzegi play Pelikan in the III Liga - Group I 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Pilica Bialobrzegi averaged 0.93 goals scored and 2.59 conceded. Pelikan averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.78 conceded. In past meetings, Pilica Bialobrzegi won 1, Pelikan won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 20, 2024 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.60 for Pilica Bialobrzegi and 1.11 for Pelikan. This points to a Pelikan double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%

Pilica Bialobrzegi

28%

Draws

45%

Pelikan

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Pelikan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence

Pilica Bialobrzegi picked up more points recently compared to Pelikan.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.60 vs 1.11 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 85%

Over 2.5 Goals 61%

Over 3.5 Goals 37%

Over 4.5 Goals 18%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%

Pilica Bialobrzegi Clean Sheet 21%

Pelikan Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 77%

Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Pilica Bialobrzegi	Pelikan
Matches Played	29	32
Wins	4	7
Draws	5	9
Losses	20	16
Goals Scored	0.93	0.97
Goals Conceded	2.59	1.78

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 20, 2024 III Liga - Group I

Pilica Bialobrzegi vs Pelikan

Possession: 44% - 52% Cards: 4 - 1

1:1

Sep 24, 2023 III Liga - Group I

Pelikan vs Pilica Bialobrzegi

Possession: 42% - 50% Cards: 3 - 2

3:1

Mar 25, 2023 III Liga - Group I

Pilica Bialobrzegi vs Pelikan

Possession: 49% - 58% Cards: 1 - 3

2:0

Aug 21, 2022 III Liga - Group I

Pelikan vs Pilica Bialobrzegi

Possession: 56% - 46% Cards: 0 - 1

2:2

Apr 10, 2022 III Liga - Group I

Pelikan vs Pilica Bialobrzegi

Possession: 45% - 60% Cards: 1 - 1

4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pilica Bialobrzegi Compare

Top Goalscorer Stawiarz A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Pelikan Compare

Top Goalscorer Soltysinski S.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pilica Bialobrzegi 29 / 100

Pelikan 43 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Pilica Bialobrzegi Pelikan

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Pelikan or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +42%

5.26

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11%

1.82

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Pilica Bialobrzegi attacking → ← attacking Pelikan

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pilica Bialobrzegi scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Pelikan let in goals in 81% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Pilica Bialobrzegi went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Pelikan lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

17 Points in last 5 30

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.13

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki	34	23	7	4	106:32	76
2	Unia Skierniewice	34	19	8	7	78:46	65
3	Legia II	34	19	8	7	70:40	65
4	Swit Mazowiecki	34	15	11	8	70:52	56
5	GKS Belchatow	34	16	8	10	58:49	56
6	Tomaszow Mazowiecki	34	15	8	11	66:54	53
7	Pelikan	34	15	7	12	52:40	52
8	LKS Lomza	34	14	6	14	52:51	48
9	Bron Radom	34	12	12	10	39:43	48
10	Warta Sieradz	34	13	5	16	43:48	44
11	GKS Wikielec	34	11	10	13	37:46	43
12	MKS Mlawa	34	11	9	14	43:50	42
13	Jagiellonia II	34	12	6	16	48:58	42
14	Victoria Sulejowek	34	11	8	15	41:48	41
15	Olimpia Zambrow	34	10	10	14	52:48	40
16	Concordia Elblag	34	8	6	20	37:98	30
17	Legionowo	34	7	6	21	41:71	27
18	Pilica Bialobrzegi	34	4	7	23	30:89	19