Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pinar del Rio vs Isla de La Juventud

Cuba Cuba

Liga Nacional
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Isla de La Juventud in this Liga Nacional matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Isla de La Juventud.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Pinar del Rio
33%
Draws
40%
Isla de La Juventud
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Isla de La Juventud

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Pinar del Rio at 1 per game, Isla de La Juventud at 0.38.
  • Win probability leans Isla de La Juventud's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Pinar del Rio Clean Sheet 27%
Isla de La Juventud Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pinar del Rio Isla de La Juventud
Matches Played 26 23
Wins 6 6
Draws 9 3
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1 0.38
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2025 Liga Nacional
Isla de La Juventud vs Pinar del Rio
0:0
May 3, 2025 Liga Nacional
Pinar del Rio vs Isla de La Juventud
0:1
Mar 28, 2025 Liga Nacional
Isla de La Juventud vs Pinar del Rio
1:1
Mar 8, 2025 Liga Nacional
Pinar del Rio vs Isla de La Juventud
3:0
Mar 4, 2023 Liga Nacional
Isla de La Juventud vs Pinar del Rio
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pinar del Rio 30 / 100
Isla de La Juventud 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pinar del Rio Isla de La Juventud

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JUV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Pinar del Rio scored in 69% of their last 26 outings.

Isla de La Juventud let in goals in 74% of their last 23 matches.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Pinar del Rio went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pinar del Rio VS Isla de La Juventud
1 Goals Scored 0.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC La Habana1173121:1224
2Artemisa1244418:1916
3Isla de La Juventud1132610:1611
4Pinar del Rio1023511:139
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Cienfuegos1264220:1122
2FC Villa Clara1264216:722
3Matanzas1233610:1312
4Mayabeque Guines1223711:269
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Las Tunas1271420:1322
2FC Ciego de Avila1262416:920
3FC Camaguey1152417:1417
4FC Sancti Spiritus111373:206
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Guantanamo1283125:627
2FC Santiago de Cuba1143412:1115
3FC Holguin1234512:1913
4CF Granma112279:228