Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pinatar vs Atletico Melilla

Spain Spain

Copa del Rey
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Benhallou M.
22' Event
Vilches I.
34' Event
Sanchez G.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 8-0. This leg finished 8-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Pinatar
30%
Draws
0%
Atletico Melilla
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pinatar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Pinatar lately — more wins on the board than Atletico Melilla.
  • Model gives Pinatar a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Pinatar have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Pinatar, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Pinatar Clean Sheet 20%
Atletico Melilla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pinatar Atletico Melilla
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 0
Draws 8 4
Losses 7 25
Goals Scored 1.72 0.41
Goals Conceded 1.1 3.59
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 0.61
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Copa del Rey
Pinatar vs Atletico Melilla
8:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pinatar Compare

Top Goalscorer Benhallou M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Webb M. B.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.31
Avg xA / game 1.5

Atletico Melilla Compare

Avg xG / game 0.55
Avg xA / game 0.34

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pinatar 85 / 100
Atletico Melilla 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pinatar Atletico Melilla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pinatar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pinatar found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Atletico Melilla let in goals in 97% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 8.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Pinatar stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pinatar VS Atletico Melilla
4 Goals Scored 0.13
0 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Pinatar

(Home)
26 Sept
Pinatar
8 : 0
Atletico Melilla
13 May
Pinatar
1 : 1
FC Cartagena SAD B
06 May
Yeclano
1 : 1
Pinatar
29 Apr
Pinatar
1 : 1
EDMF Churra
22 Apr
E.G. El Palmar
2 : 3
Pinatar
Page 1 of 6

Atletico Melilla

(Away)
26 Sept
Pinatar
8 : 0
Atletico Melilla
04 Oct
Atletico Palma del Rio
5 : 0
Atletico Melilla
27 Sept
Atletico Melilla
0 : 5
Atletico Palma del Rio
12 May
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
10 : 0
Atletico Melilla
04 May
Atletico Melilla
2 : 4
CP Almeria
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Pinatar 8
Atletico Melilla 0
Talayuela -
Sporting de Alcazar CF -
Hortaleza 1
Atletico Union Guimar 0
El Espinar Sant Rafel -
Prat -
Ribadesella CF 1
SD Noja 0
Maracena -
Tavernes -
Lebrijana 5
Ceuta 6 de Junio 0
Auriense 2
CD San Jose 0
Atletico Calatayud 2
CD Baztan 0
Anaitasuna FT 5
CD Tedeon 0
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