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Pinatar vs Elche - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Copa del Rey
Tue, Oct 27, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Copa del Rey. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Pinatar have averaged 1.77 scored and 1.07 conceded recently, against Elche's 1.43 scored and 1.61 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (3.31 - 1.18) back Pinatar to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Pinatar
35%
Draws
20%
Elche
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Pinatar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pinatar come out ahead of Elche on wins alone.
  • Model gives Pinatar a 45% chance of winning this.
  • Pinatar have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Pinatar Clean Sheet 20%
Elche Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pinatar Elche
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 15 9
Draws 8 9
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.77 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 3.31 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pinatar 85 / 100
Elche 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pinatar Elche

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pinatar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pinatar's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Elche conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

Pinatar has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Elche's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Pinatar VS Elche
5.5 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pinatar

(Home)
04 Oct
Atletico Melilla
0 : 3
Pinatar
26 Sept
Pinatar
8 : 0
Atletico Melilla
13 May
Pinatar
1 : 1
FC Cartagena SAD B
06 May
Yeclano
1 : 1
Pinatar
29 Apr
Pinatar
1 : 1
EDMF Churra
Page 1 of 6

Elche

(Away)
18 Sept
Espanyol
1 : 3
Elche
15 Sept
Elche
2 : 3
Real Madrid
12 Sept
Ath Bilbao
1 : 1
Elche
07 Sept
Elche
2 : 3
Real Sociedad
28 Aug
Racing Santander
3 : 2
Elche
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Ribadesella CF 2
SD Noja 1
TBD -
Racing Santander -
Auriense 2
CD San Jose 1
TBD -
Dep. A Coruna -
Salamanca CF UDS -
TBD -
TBD -
Celta Vigo -
Covadonga -
TBD -
TBD -
Valladolid -
Guijuelo -
TBD -
TBD -
Gijon -
CD Laredo -
TBD -
TBD -
Burgos CF -
Numancia -
TBD -
TBD -
Real Oviedo -
Llanera -
TBD -
TBD -
Ponferradina -
Arosa SC -
TBD -
TBD -
Pontevedra -
Atletico Tordesillas -
TBD -
TBD -
Mirandes -
Gimnastica Segoviana -
TBD -
TBD -
Leonesa -
Coruxo FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Zamora -
Real Avila -
TBD -
TBD -
Unionistas de Salamanca -
Gimnastic de Torrelavega -
TBD -
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UD Ourense -
Atletico Calatayud 4
CD Baztan 1
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Osasuna -
Anaitasuna FT 10
CD Tedeon 2
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Alaves -
El Espinar Sant Rafel 1
Prat 5
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Ath Bilbao -
Sestao -
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Espanyol -
Varea -
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FC Andorra -
CD Cuarte -
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Girona -
Pamplona -
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Eibar -
Utebo FC -
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Sabadell -
Pena -
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Huesca -
Tudelano -
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Zaragoza -
CE Manresa -
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Sant Andreu -
Calamocha -
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CE Europa -
Reus FC Reddis -
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Barakaldo -
Amorebieta -
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UD Logrones -
Portugalete -
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Real Union -
Maracena 1
Tavernes 2
TBD -
Valencia -
Pinatar 11
Atletico Melilla 0
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Elche -
Talayuela 1
Sporting de Alcazar CF 3
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Malaga -
CD Tarancon -
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Levante -
Manacor -
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Villarreal -
Castellonense -
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Almeria -
Alcoyano -
TBD -
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Mallorca -
Conquense -
TBD -
TBD -
Castellon -
UD Poblense -
TBD -
TBD -
AD Ceuta -
Puertollano C.F. -
TBD -
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Albacete -
Ciudad Cieza -
TBD -
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Granada CF -
Baleares -
TBD -
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Eldense -
Deportiva Minera -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Cartagena SAD -
Mijas Las Lagunas -
TBD -
TBD -
Jaen -
Antequera -
TBD -
TBD -
Aguilas FC -
Lebrijana 7
Ceuta 6 de Junio 1
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Getafe -
Hortaleza 1
Atletico Union Guimar 0
TBD -
Sevilla -
Recreativo Huelva -
TBD -
TBD -
Rayo Vallecano -
Navalcarnero -
TBD -
TBD -
Betis -
Trival Valderas -
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TBD -
Leganes -
RSD Alcala -
TBD -
TBD -
Las Palmas -
CD Badajoz -
TBD -
TBD -
Tenerife -
Xerez CD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cadiz -
Atletico Paso -
TBD -
TBD -
Cordoba -
San Sebastian Reyes -
TBD -
TBD -
CD Coria -
Don Benito -
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CD Extremadura -
Ciudad de Lucena -
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Rayo Majadahonda -
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1/64-finals
Ribadesella CF -
Racing Santander -
Auriense -
Dep. A Coruna -
Salamanca CF UDS -
Celta Vigo -
Covadonga -
Valladolid -
Guijuelo -
Gijon -
CD Laredo -
Burgos CF -
Numancia -
Real Oviedo -
Llanera -
Ponferradina -
Arosa SC -
Pontevedra -
Atletico Tordesillas -
Mirandes -
Gimnastica Segoviana -
Leonesa -
Coruxo FC -
Zamora -
Real Avila -
Unionistas de Salamanca -
Gimnastic de Torrelavega -
UD Ourense -
Atletico Calatayud -
Osasuna -
Anaitasuna FT -
Alaves -
TBD -
Ath Bilbao -
Sestao -
Espanyol -
Varea -
FC Andorra -
CD Cuarte -
Girona -
Pamplona -
Eibar -
Utebo FC -
Sabadell -
Pena -
Huesca -
Tudelano -
Zaragoza -
CE Manresa -
Sant Andreu -
Calamocha -
CE Europa -
Reus FC Reddis -
Barakaldo -
Amorebieta -
UD Logrones -
Portugalete -
Real Union -
Tavernes -
Valencia -
Pinatar -
Elche -
Sporting de Alcazar CF -
Malaga -
CD Tarancon -
Levante -
Manacor -
Villarreal -
Castellonense -
Almeria -
Alcoyano -
Mallorca -
Conquense -
Castellon -
UD Poblense -
AD Ceuta -
Puertollano C.F. -
Albacete -
Ciudad Cieza -
Granada CF -
Baleares -
Eldense -
Deportiva Minera -
FC Cartagena SAD -
Mijas Las Lagunas -
Jaen -
Antequera -
Aguilas FC -
Lebrijana -
Getafe -
TBD -
Sevilla -
Recreativo Huelva -
Rayo Vallecano -
Navalcarnero -
Betis -
Trival Valderas -
Leganes -
RSD Alcala -
Las Palmas -
CD Badajoz -
Tenerife -
Xerez CD -
Cadiz -
Atletico Paso -
Cordoba -
San Sebastian Reyes -
CD Coria -
Don Benito -
CD Extremadura -
Ciudad de Lucena -
Rayo Majadahonda -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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1/32-finals
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1/16-finals
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1/8-finals
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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