Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 13 2010/2011

FC Puente Tocinos

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Pinatar play FC Puente Tocinos in the Tercera Division - Group 13 2010/2011. It looks like a close match. Recently, Pinatar averaged 1.44 goals scored and 1.19 conceded. FC Puente Tocinos averaged 1 goals scored and 2.13 conceded. In past meetings, Pinatar won 3, FC Puente Tocinos won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 10, 2011 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.73 for Pinatar and 1.31 for FC Puente Tocinos. This points to a Pinatar double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

55%

Pinatar

23%

Draws

22%

FC Puente Tocinos

Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Pinatar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence

Pinatar picked up more points recently compared to FC Puente Tocinos.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.73 vs 1.31 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 80%

Over 2.5 Goals 53%

Over 3.5 Goals 32%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%

Pinatar Clean Sheet 18%

FC Puente Tocinos Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 72%

Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Pinatar	FC Puente Tocinos
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	15	7
Draws	8	5
Losses	9	18
Goals Scored	1.44	1
Goals Conceded	1.19	2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 13

Pinatar vs FC Puente Tocinos

Possession: 43% - 46% Cards: 3 - 1

2:1

Nov 21, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 13

FC Puente Tocinos vs Pinatar

Possession: 55% - 46% Cards: 2 - 2

1:2

Apr 25, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 13

FC Puente Tocinos vs Pinatar

Possession: 54% - 50% Cards: 1 - 1

1:1

Dec 16, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 13

Pinatar vs FC Puente Tocinos

Possession: 45% - 50% Cards: 1 - 4

2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pinatar 53 / 100

FC Puente Tocinos 22 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Pinatar FC Puente Tocinos

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pinatar Win (1)

Secondary Pick Pinatar & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +17.1%

2.13

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.9%

2.13

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Pinatar attacking → ← attacking FC Puente Tocinos

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pinatar scored in 81% of their last 32 games.

FC Puente Tocinos let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Pinatar went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

FC Puente Tocinos lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

53 Points in last 5 26

2.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	UCAM Murcia	38	27	5	6	81:22	86
2	Real Murcia B	38	25	9	4	69:18	84
3	Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC	38	25	8	5	85:28	83
4	Cartagena La Union	38	25	6	7	72:36	81
5	Ciudad Cieza	38	25	5	8	74:28	80
6	Bala Azul	38	18	12	8	59:45	66
7	Lorca FC	38	17	9	12	58:51	60
8	CA Pulpileno	38	16	9	13	53:42	57
9	Molina	38	15	8	15	60:45	53
10	Pinatar	38	13	13	12	50:51	52
11	Club Edeco Fortuna	38	15	7	16	39:57	52
12	Plus Ultra	38	14	6	18	44:57	48
13	Santomera	38	12	9	17	43:57	45
14	Cartagena FC UCAM	38	11	10	17	43:61	43
15	Moratalla	38	11	8	19	44:69	41
16	Calasparra FC	38	11	8	19	45:64	41
17	Base Abaran	38	9	9	20	28:47	36
18	FC Puente Tocinos	38	9	6	23	42:85	33
19	Beniel	38	4	3	31	32:93	15
20	Lorca Deportiva	38	2	2	34	7:72	8