Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pinerolo vs Borgosesia Calcio

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Henin G.
34' Event
Ozara D.
36' Event
Amansour A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 game between Pinerolo and Borgosesia Calcio finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pinerolo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Pinerolo
35%
Draws
36%
Borgosesia Calcio
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Borgosesia Calcio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Pinerolo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Pinerolo Clean Sheet 28%
Borgosesia Calcio Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pinerolo Borgosesia Calcio
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 5 2
Draws 11 5
Losses 14 21
Goals Scored 0.57 0.54
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.09 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 6, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Pinerolo vs Borgosesia Calcio
3:2
Oct 22, 2023 Serie D - Group A
Borgosesia Calcio vs Pinerolo
0:0
Feb 26, 2023 Serie D - Group A
Pinerolo vs Borgosesia Calcio
4:1
Oct 23, 2022 Serie D - Group A
Borgosesia Calcio vs Pinerolo
1:1
Feb 5, 2017 Serie D - Group A
Pinerolo vs Borgosesia Calcio
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pinerolo Compare

Top Goalscorer Ozara D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Amansour A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.84
Avg xA / game 0.55

Borgosesia Calcio Compare

Top Goalscorer Henin G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Del Barba D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pinerolo 38 / 100
Borgosesia Calcio 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pinerolo Borgosesia Calcio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Borgosesia Calcio Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Borgosesia Calcio let in goals in 89% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Pinerolo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Pinerolo's goal record stands at 43% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Pinerolo VS Borgosesia Calcio
0.43 Goals Scored 0.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
71% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Pinerolo

(Home)
12 May
AC Chieri
0 : 0
Pinerolo
05 May
Pinerolo
0 : 2
Alba
28 Apr
Sanremese
0 : 0
Pinerolo
21 Apr
Pinerolo
1 : 1
Ligorna
14 Apr
Varese FC
1 : 1
Pinerolo
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Borgosesia Calcio

(Away)
20 Sept
Borgosesia Calcio
1 : 1
Bra
16 Sept
Gozzano
0 : 0
Borgosesia Calcio
12 Sept
Borgosesia Calcio
0 : 2
Saluzzo
05 May
Borgosesia Calcio
1 : 0
AC Chieri
28 Apr
Vado
4 : 0
Borgosesia Calcio
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alcione Milano 38 23 10 5 70:27 79
2 Chisola 38 21 9 8 64:37 72
3 Varese FC 38 18 12 8 49:33 66
4 Vado 38 17 14 7 51:28 65
5 NovaRomentin 38 18 11 9 58:38 65
6 Bra 38 18 11 9 47:30 65
7 Ligorna 38 17 12 9 44:37 63
8 Asti Calcio 38 16 11 11 42:33 59
9 Albenga 38 15 15 8 51:33 58
10 Sanremese 38 13 13 12 34:33 52
11 Fezzanese 38 14 9 15 42:50 51
12 Gozzano 38 10 15 13 35:38 45
13 Lavagnese 38 11 11 16 46:47 44
14 Vogherese 38 10 12 16 42:57 42
15 Derthona FbC 38 9 14 15 34:52 41
16 AC Chieri 38 8 15 15 39:52 39
17 Pinerolo 38 8 13 17 25:44 37
18 Alba 38 10 7 21 39:63 37
19 PDHA 38 5 7 26 25:63 22
20 Borgosesia Calcio 38 5 7 26 25:67 22
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 (Play Out)