Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pinerolo vs Fezzanese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Baudi A.
69' Event
Mariotti L.
85'
Ciletta A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 game between Pinerolo and Fezzanese finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fezzanese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Pinerolo
35%
Draws
43%
Fezzanese
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Fezzanese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Pinerolo haven't matched Fezzanese's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Fezzanese's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Pinerolo Clean Sheet 19%
Fezzanese Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pinerolo Fezzanese
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 5 11
Draws 11 8
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 0.57 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Pinerolo vs Fezzanese
0:2
Nov 26, 2023 Serie D - Group A
Fezzanese vs Pinerolo
0:1
Jan 25, 2023 Serie D - Group A
Fezzanese vs Pinerolo
2:0
Sep 23, 2022 Serie D - Group A
Pinerolo vs Fezzanese
2:2
Feb 6, 2016 Serie D - Group A
Pinerolo vs Fezzanese
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pinerolo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Fezzanese Compare

Top Goalscorer Baudi A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mariotti L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pinerolo 12 / 100
Fezzanese 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pinerolo Fezzanese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fezzanese Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fezzanese's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 33 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Pinerolo has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Pinerolo found the back of the net in 43% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Fezzanese
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pinerolo

(Home)
12 May
AC Chieri
0 : 0
Pinerolo
05 May
Pinerolo
0 : 2
Alba
28 Apr
Sanremese
0 : 0
Pinerolo
21 Apr
Pinerolo
1 : 1
Ligorna
14 Apr
Varese FC
1 : 1
Pinerolo
Page 1 of 6

Fezzanese

(Away)
16 Sept
Sestri Levante
0 : 3
Fezzanese
13 Sept
Fezzanese
2 : 0
Chisola
06 Sept
Bra
1 : 1
Fezzanese
04 May
Fezzanese
3 : 3
Ghiviborgo
27 Apr
Orvietana
3 : 0
Fezzanese
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alcione Milano 38 23 10 5 70:27 79
2 Chisola 38 21 9 8 64:37 72
3 Varese FC 38 18 12 8 49:33 66
4 Vado 38 17 14 7 51:28 65
5 NovaRomentin 38 18 11 9 58:38 65
6 Bra 38 18 11 9 47:30 65
7 Ligorna 38 17 12 9 44:37 63
8 Asti Calcio 38 16 11 11 42:33 59
9 Albenga 38 15 15 8 51:33 58
10 Sanremese 38 13 13 12 34:33 52
11 Fezzanese 38 14 9 15 42:50 51
12 Gozzano 38 10 15 13 35:38 45
13 Lavagnese 38 11 11 16 46:47 44
14 Vogherese 38 10 12 16 42:57 42
15 Derthona FbC 38 9 14 15 34:52 41
16 AC Chieri 38 8 15 15 39:52 39
17 Pinerolo 38 8 13 17 25:44 37
18 Alba 38 10 7 21 39:63 37
19 PDHA 38 5 7 26 25:63 22
20 Borgosesia Calcio 38 5 7 26 25:67 22
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 (Play Out)