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Pinerolo vs Vogherese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

70' Event
D'Orazio A.
80' Event
Markovic L.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Pinerolo
35%
Draws
0%
Vogherese
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Pinerolo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Pinerolo have won more games recently than Vogherese.
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on Pinerolo taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Pinerolo Clean Sheet 68%
Vogherese Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pinerolo Vogherese
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 5 4
Draws 11 9
Losses 14 23
Goals Scored 0.57 0.78
Goals Conceded 1.17 2.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Pinerolo vs Vogherese
1:1
Oct 1, 2023 Serie D - Group A
Vogherese vs Pinerolo
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pinerolo Compare

Top Goalscorer D'Orazio A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Vogherese Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pinerolo 95 / 100
Vogherese 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pinerolo Vogherese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pinerolo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Vogherese conceded in 83% of 36 recent games.

Away concern: Vogherese has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Solid form: Pinerolo remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Vogherese
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Pinerolo

(Home)
12 May
AC Chieri
0 : 0
Pinerolo
05 May
Pinerolo
0 : 2
Alba
28 Apr
Sanremese
0 : 0
Pinerolo
21 Apr
Pinerolo
1 : 1
Ligorna
14 Apr
Varese FC
1 : 1
Pinerolo
Page 1 of 6

Vogherese

(Away)
03 May
AC Milan U23
10 : 1
Vogherese
26 Apr
Vogherese
0 : 6
Caldiero Terme
19 Apr
Ciserano-Bergamo
6 : 1
Vogherese
11 Apr
Vogherese
0 : 4
USD Casatese
02 Apr
Chievo
4 : 1
Vogherese
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alcione Milano 38 23 10 5 70:27 79
2 Chisola 38 21 9 8 64:37 72
3 Varese FC 38 18 12 8 49:33 66
4 Vado 38 17 14 7 51:28 65
5 NovaRomentin 38 18 11 9 58:38 65
6 Bra 38 18 11 9 47:30 65
7 Ligorna 38 17 12 9 44:37 63
8 Asti Calcio 38 16 11 11 42:33 59
9 Albenga 38 15 15 8 51:33 58
10 Sanremese 38 13 13 12 34:33 52
11 Fezzanese 38 14 9 15 42:50 51
12 Gozzano 38 10 15 13 35:38 45
13 Lavagnese 38 11 11 16 46:47 44
14 Vogherese 38 10 12 16 42:57 42
15 Derthona FbC 38 9 14 15 34:52 41
16 AC Chieri 38 8 15 15 39:52 39
17 Pinerolo 38 8 13 17 25:44 37
18 Alba 38 10 7 21 39:63 37
19 PDHA 38 5 7 26 25:63 22
20 Borgosesia Calcio 38 5 7 26 25:67 22
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 (Play Out)