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Pineto vs Forli FC

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 Mimmo Pavone-Alessandro Mariani, Pineto
Our Tip

Match Events

29'
Coveri V.
30' Event
Baggi F.
43'
Manetti G.

AI Match Summary

Pineto in this Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pineto.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Pineto
35%
Draws
30%
Forli FC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Forli FC haven't matched Pineto's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Pineto a 35% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Pineto Clean Sheet 68%
Forli FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pineto Forli FC
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 7
Draws 8 11
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 0.97 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Pineto vs Forli FC
1:1
Mar 4, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Pineto vs Forli FC
3:2
Oct 25, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Forli FC vs Pineto
1:1
Jan 16, 2019 Serie D - Group F
Pineto vs Forli FC
1:2
Sep 26, 2018 Serie D - Group F
Forli FC vs Pineto
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pineto Compare

Top Goalscorer Baggi F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Schirone L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Forli FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Franzolini A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pineto 50 / 100
Forli FC 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pineto Forli FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pineto Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Forli FC let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Pineto has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Pineto's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Pineto VS Forli FC
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pineto

(Home)
16 Sept
Pineto
1 : 1
Forli FC
12 Sept
Pineto
2 : 1
Sambenedettese
06 Sept
Perugia
2 : 1
Pineto
29 Aug
Pineto
0 : 0
Livorno
23 Aug
Latina
0 : 0
Pineto
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Forli FC

(Away)
19 Sept
Forli FC
1 : 1
Sassari Torres
16 Sept
Pineto
1 : 1
Forli FC
12 Sept
Forli FC
2 : 1
Vis Pesaro
05 Sept
Latina
2 : 0
Forli FC
01 Sept
Ravenna
2 : 1
Forli FC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arezzo 36 24 8 4 64:24 80
2 Ascoli 36 23 8 5 63:23 77
3 Ravenna 36 22 7 7 50:30 73
4 Campobasso 36 17 10 9 49:37 59
5 Juventus U23 36 14 11 11 46:43 53
6 Pianese 36 11 17 8 37:34 50
7 Pineto 36 13 11 12 42:45 50
8 Gubbio 36 11 15 10 31:32 48
9 Ternana 36 14 11 11 44:40 48
10 Vis Pesaro 36 11 13 12 38:36 46
11 Livorno 36 12 7 17 39:51 43
12 Forli FC 36 10 10 16 41:52 40
13 Carpi 36 10 10 16 35:48 40
14 Perugia 36 8 14 14 38:44 38
15 Guidonia 1937 36 8 14 14 30:36 38
16 Sambenedettese 36 8 13 15 30:37 37
17 Sassari Torres 36 6 18 12 32:45 36
18 Bra 36 6 14 16 37:54 32
19 US Pontedera 36 3 11 22 27:62 20
20 Rimini 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Out)