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Pineto vs Grosseto

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group B Mimmo Pavone-Alessandro Mariani, Pineto
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group B game between Pineto and Grosseto finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Grosseto.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Pineto
35%
Draws
37%
Grosseto
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Grosseto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Grosseto carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 28% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Serie C - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Pineto Clean Sheet 68%
Grosseto Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pineto Grosseto
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 8 11
Draws 9 9
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pineto 41 / 100
Grosseto 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pineto Grosseto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pineto Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Pineto scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Grosseto let in goals in 67% of their last 27 matches.

Solid form: Pineto remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Grosseto lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pineto VS Grosseto
0.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Pineto

(Home)
20 Sept
Campobasso
2 : 2
Pineto
16 Sept
Pineto
1 : 1
Forli FC
12 Sept
Pineto
2 : 1
Sambenedettese
06 Sept
Perugia
2 : 1
Pineto
29 Aug
Pineto
0 : 0
Livorno
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Grosseto

(Away)
20 Sept
Grosseto
2 : 0
Perugia
16 Sept
Grosseto
2 : 2
Campobasso
12 Sept
Pianese
0 : 0
Grosseto
09 Sept
Grosseto
1 : 4
Latina
06 Sept
Grosseto
2 : 0
Sassari Torres
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spezia 6 5 1 0 12:3 16
2 Ravenna 6 4 2 0 10:2 14
3 Reggiana 6 4 2 0 12:5 14
4 Grosseto 6 3 3 0 9:4 12
5 Livorno 6 3 2 1 7:6 11
6 Sassari Torres 6 3 1 2 8:8 10
7 Guidonia 1937 6 2 3 1 8:5 9
8 Forli FC 6 2 3 1 12:10 9
9 Atalanta U23 6 3 0 3 7:9 9
10 Campobasso 6 2 2 2 9:9 8
11 Pescara 6 2 2 2 8:9 8
12 Pineto 6 1 4 1 6:6 7
13 Gubbio 6 2 1 3 9:11 7
14 Perugia 6 2 1 3 5:11 7
15 Ostiamare 6 2 0 4 7:8 6
16 Latina 6 1 2 3 5:8 5
17 Vado 6 1 1 4 5:8 4
18 Pianese 6 0 3 3 2:6 3
19 Sambenedettese 6 0 2 4 7:11 2
20 Vis Pesaro 6 0 1 5 6:15 1
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)