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Pineto vs Gubbio - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group B Mimmo Pavone-Alessandro Mariani, Pineto
Fri, Oct 23, 2026
VS
06:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pineto host Gubbio in the Serie C - Group B. Little to choose between these two on current form. Gubbio have shipped 1.31 goals a game lately, while Pineto have conceded 1.24 and scored 0.93. Head-to-head, Pineto have won 2 to Gubbio's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Aug 14, 2026, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 1.63, favoring Gubbio. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: NG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Pineto
20%
Draws
0%
Gubbio
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pineto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gubbio lately — more wins on the board than Pineto.
  • Win probability leans Pineto's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Serie C - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Pineto Clean Sheet 68%
Gubbio Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pineto Gubbio
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 11
Draws 9 5
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 0.93 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 Coppa Italia Serie C
Pineto vs Gubbio
1:2
May 3, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Pineto vs Gubbio
2:1
Apr 26, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Gubbio vs Pineto
2:0
Dec 20, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Pineto vs Gubbio
1:0
Feb 14, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Gubbio vs Pineto
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pineto 77 / 100
Gubbio 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pineto Gubbio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pineto Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gubbio lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Gubbio's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Solid form: Pineto remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Pineto VS Gubbio
1 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Pineto

(Home)
20 Oct
Pineto
2 : 0
Reggiana
17 Oct
Pianese
0 : 0
Pineto
04 Oct
Guidonia 1937
1 : 0
Pineto
26 Sept
Pineto
0 : 4
Grosseto
20 Sept
Campobasso
2 : 2
Pineto
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Gubbio

(Away)
18 Oct
Gubbio
0 : 2
Atalanta U23
10 Oct
Spezia
2 : 0
Gubbio
03 Oct
Gubbio
1 : 3
Perugia
27 Sept
Ravenna
2 : 0
Gubbio
20 Sept
Gubbio
0 : 2
Ostiamare
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spezia 10 9 1 0 18:4 28
2 Ravenna 10 6 2 2 16:6 20
3 Grosseto 10 5 4 1 21:13 19
4 Reggiana 10 5 2 3 14:9 17
5 Guidonia 1937 10 4 4 2 14:10 16
6 Livorno 10 4 4 2 15:14 16
7 Perugia 10 5 1 4 14:15 16
8 Pescara 10 4 3 3 13:12 15
9 Sassari Torres 10 4 3 3 11:12 15
10 Latina 10 3 4 3 10:10 13
11 Vado 10 3 3 4 10:10 12
12 Atalanta U23 9 4 0 5 10:13 12
13 Campobasso 10 3 3 4 14:19 12
14 Forli FC 10 2 5 3 16:16 11
15 Pineto 10 2 5 3 8:11 11
16 Ostiamare 10 2 3 5 9:12 9
17 Pianese 10 1 5 4 6:10 8
18 Sambenedettese 10 1 4 5 14:17 7
19 Gubbio 10 2 1 7 10:20 7
20 Vis Pesaro 9 1 1 7 10:20 4
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)