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Pineto vs Livorno - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group B Mimmo Pavone-Alessandro Mariani, Pineto
Pineto Logo

Pineto

0 - 0
FT
Livorno Logo

Livorno

Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Arrigoni T.
35'
Falasco N.
52'
Tonti A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group B game between Pineto and Livorno finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Pineto
30%
Draws
41%
Livorno
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Livorno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Pineto haven't matched Livorno's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Pineto Clean Sheet 17%
Livorno Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pineto Livorno
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 7 12
Draws 8 7
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 0.89 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Pineto vs Livorno
0:0
Feb 21, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Livorno vs Pineto
1:0
Oct 11, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Pineto vs Livorno
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pineto 31 / 100
Livorno 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pineto Livorno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Livorno Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Livorno conceded in 74% of 27 recent games.

Pineto went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Pineto scored in 54% of their last 28 games.

Historical meetings average 1.33 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Pineto VS Livorno
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pineto

(Home)
04 Oct
Guidonia 1937
1 : 0
Pineto
26 Sept
Pineto
0 : 4
Grosseto
20 Sept
Campobasso
2 : 2
Pineto
16 Sept
Pineto
1 : 1
Forli FC
12 Sept
Pineto
2 : 1
Sambenedettese
Page 1 of 6

Livorno

(Away)
03 Oct
Livorno
0 : 1
Pescara
26 Sept
Livorno
3 : 2
Pianese
21 Sept
Guidonia 1937
1 : 1
Livorno
16 Sept
Livorno
3 : 2
Vado
12 Sept
Spezia
2 : 0
Livorno
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spezia 9 8 1 0 17:4 25
2 Grosseto 9 5 3 1 17:9 18
3 Ravenna 8 5 2 1 13:4 17
4 Sassari Torres 9 4 3 2 11:10 15
5 Reggiana 8 4 2 2 12:7 14
6 Livorno 8 4 2 2 10:9 14
7 Perugia 8 4 1 3 9:12 13
8 Guidonia 1937 8 3 3 2 10:7 12
9 Campobasso 8 3 3 2 12:11 12
10 Pescara 8 3 2 3 10:11 11
11 Forli FC 8 2 4 2 13:12 10
12 Ostiamare 9 2 3 4 9:10 9
13 Atalanta U23 7 3 0 4 8:11 9
14 Vado 8 2 2 4 6:8 8
15 Pianese 9 1 4 4 6:10 7
16 Pineto 8 1 4 3 6:11 7
17 Gubbio 9 2 1 6 10:18 7
18 Latina 7 1 3 3 6:9 6
19 Sambenedettese 8 1 2 5 11:14 5
20 Vis Pesaro 8 1 1 6 10:19 4
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)